Heavy Rainfall and Severe Thunderstorm Threats; Heat Risk Expands; Monitoring the Tropics

Flash flooding risks continue for portions of the Four Corners and Great Basin through today. Severe thunderstorms are outlooked from the eastern Great Lakes, southern New England into the mid-Atlantic through Tuesday. Heat risk increases and expands across the center of the nation and across the Ohio Valley and mid-Atlantic this week. Continue to closely monitor tropical development in the Gulf. Read More >

Current conditions at

OAK CREEK (QOCA3)

Lat: 34.94686°NLon: 111.75444°WElev: 4804.0ft.

NA

60°F

16°C

Humidity 85%
Wind Speed N 2 MPH
Barometer NA
Dewpoint 55°F (13°C)
Visibility NA
Last update 31 Aug 05:03 AM MST
Extended Forecast for

11 Miles NW Sedona AZ

Flood Watch August 31, 05:38am until September 1, 12:00am
Click here for hazard details and duration
Flood Watch
  •  
    Flood Watch August 31, 05:38am until September 1, 12:00am

    NOW until 12:00am Tue

    Flood Watch

  • Overnight

    Low: 66 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Monday

    Monday: Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before 5pm.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 75. East wind around 6 mph becoming light and variable  in the afternoon.  Chance of precipitation is 70%.

    High: 75 °F

    T-storms
    Likely

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2am, then a slight chance of showers.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 61. Calm wind becoming northeast around 5 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 50%.

    Low: 61 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Slight Chance
    T-storms

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11am.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 77. Light and variable wind becoming southwest 5 to 8 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 21 mph.

    High: 77 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 63. Southwest wind around 6 mph becoming light and variable  after midnight.

    Low: 63 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11am.  Sunny, with a high near 79. Southeast wind 5 to 11 mph becoming southwest in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 24 mph.

    High: 79 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 63. Southwest wind around 6 mph becoming calm  after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 15 mph.

    Low: 63 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Thursday

    Thursday: A 10 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11am.  Sunny, with a high near 80. Southeast wind 6 to 10 mph becoming southwest in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 22 mph.

    High: 80 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms

Detailed Forecast

Overnight
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 66. Northeast wind around 5 mph.
Monday
Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before 5pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 75. East wind around 6 mph becoming light and variable in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Monday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2am, then a slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 61. Calm wind becoming northeast around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Tuesday
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 77. Light and variable wind becoming southwest 5 to 8 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 21 mph.
Tuesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 63. Southwest wind around 6 mph becoming light and variable after midnight.
Wednesday
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11am. Sunny, with a high near 79. Southeast wind 5 to 11 mph becoming southwest in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 24 mph.
Wednesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 63. Southwest wind around 6 mph becoming calm after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 15 mph.
Thursday
A 10 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11am. Sunny, with a high near 80. Southeast wind 6 to 10 mph becoming southwest in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 22 mph.
Thursday Night
A 10 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11pm. Mostly clear, with a low around 64. South wind around 6 mph becoming light and variable after midnight.
Friday
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 11am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 78. South wind 6 to 8 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Friday Night
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 65. South wind around 5 mph becoming light and variable.
Saturday
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 79. East wind around 6 mph becoming south in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 16 mph.
Saturday Night
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 65. Light and variable wind becoming northeast around 6 mph in the evening.
Sunday
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 82. East wind around 7 mph becoming south in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 18 mph.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
11 Miles NW Sedona AZ
 34.97°N 111.95°W (Elev. 5587 ft)
3:12 am MST Aug 31, 2026
5am MST Aug 31, 2026-6pm MST Sep 6, 2026
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database