Heavy Rainfall and Severe Thunderstorm Threats; Heat Risk Expands; Monitoring the Tropics

Flash flooding risks continue for portions of the Four Corners and Great Basin through today. Severe thunderstorms are outlooked from the eastern Great Lakes, southern New England into the mid-Atlantic through Tuesday. Heat risk increases and expands across the center of the nation and across the Ohio Valley and mid-Atlantic this week. Continue to closely monitor tropical development in the Gulf. Read More >

Current conditions at

OAK CREEK (QOCA3)

Lat: 34.94686°NLon: 111.75444°WElev: 4804.0ft.

NA

60°F

16°C

Humidity 85%
Wind Speed N 2 MPH
Barometer NA
Dewpoint 55°F (13°C)
Visibility NA
Last update 31 Aug 05:03 AM MST
Extended Forecast for

6 Miles WNW Munds Park AZ

Flood Watch August 31, 05:40am until September 1, 12:00am
Click here for hazard details and duration
Flood Watch
  •  
    Flood Watch August 31, 05:40am until September 1, 12:00am

    NOW until 12:00am Tue

    Flood Watch

  • Overnight

    Low: 59 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Monday

    Monday: Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before 5pm.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 79. Light and variable wind becoming south around 5 mph. Winds could gust as high as 17 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 70%.

    High: 79 °F

    T-storms
    Likely

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2am, then a slight chance of showers.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 55. Calm wind.  Chance of precipitation is 50%.

    Low: 55 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Slight Chance
    T-storms

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11am.  Patchy fog between 8am and 11am.  Otherwise, mostly sunny, with a high near 82. Calm wind becoming southwest 5 to 9 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 23 mph.

    High: 82 °F

    Chance
    T-storms and
    Patchy Fog

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 57. Light south wind.

    Low: 57 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: A 10 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11am.  Sunny, with a high near 83. Southwest wind 5 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph.

    High: 83 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 57. Southwest wind around 6 mph becoming calm  in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 16 mph.

    Low: 57 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Sunny, with a high near 84. Southwest wind 5 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph.

    High: 84 °F

    Sunny

Detailed Forecast

Overnight
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 59. Calm wind.
Monday
Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before 5pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 79. Light and variable wind becoming south around 5 mph. Winds could gust as high as 17 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Monday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2am, then a slight chance of showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 55. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Tuesday
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11am. Patchy fog between 8am and 11am. Otherwise, mostly sunny, with a high near 82. Calm wind becoming southwest 5 to 9 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 23 mph.
Tuesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 57. Light south wind.
Wednesday
A 10 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11am. Sunny, with a high near 83. Southwest wind 5 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph.
Wednesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 57. Southwest wind around 6 mph becoming calm in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 16 mph.
Thursday
Sunny, with a high near 84. Southwest wind 5 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph.
Thursday Night
A 10 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11pm. Mostly clear, with a low around 58. South wind around 6 mph becoming calm after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 16 mph.
Friday
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 11am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 83. Southwest wind 5 to 9 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph.
Friday Night
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 59. Light and variable wind.
Saturday
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 83. South wind 3 to 6 mph. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.
Saturday Night
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 60. Calm wind becoming northeast around 5 mph after midnight.
Sunday
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 87. East wind 5 to 7 mph becoming south in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 21 mph.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
6 Miles WNW Munds Park AZ
 34.96°N 111.75°W (Elev. 5194 ft)
3:12 am MST Aug 31, 2026
5am MST Aug 31, 2026-6pm MST Sep 6, 2026
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database