Heavy Rainfall and Severe Thunderstorm Threats; Heat Risk Expands; Monitoring the Tropics

Flash flooding risks continue for portions of the Four Corners and Great Basin through today. Severe thunderstorms are outlooked from the eastern Great Lakes, southern New England into the mid-Atlantic through Tuesday. Heat risk increases and expands across the center of the nation and across the Ohio Valley and mid-Atlantic this week. Continue to closely monitor tropical development in the Gulf. Read More >

Current conditions at

OAK CREEK (QOCA3)

Lat: 34.94686°NLon: 111.75444°WElev: 4804.0ft.

NA

59°F

15°C

Humidity 95%
Wind Speed NE 0 MPH
Barometer NA
Dewpoint 58°F (14°C)
Visibility NA
Last update 31 Aug 04:03 AM MST
Extended Forecast for

10 Miles NW Sedona AZ

Flood Watch August 31, 04:21am until September 1, 12:00am
Click here for hazard details and duration
Flood Watch
  •  
    Flood Watch August 31, 04:21am until September 1, 12:00am

    NOW until 12:00am Tue

    Flood Watch

  • Overnight

    Low: 59 °F

    Chance
    T-storms

  • Monday

    Monday: Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before 5pm.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 72. Light and variable wind becoming southeast around 6 mph. Winds could gust as high as 15 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 70%.

    High: 72 °F

    T-storms
    Likely

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2am, then a slight chance of showers.  Patchy fog after 2am.  Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 55. Light and variable wind.  Chance of precipitation is 50%.

    Low: 55 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Slight Chance
    T-storms and
    Patchy Fog

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11am.  Patchy fog before 11am.  Otherwise, mostly sunny, with a high near 75. Calm wind becoming south 5 to 9 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 22 mph.

    High: 75 °F

    Chance
    T-storms and
    Patchy Fog

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 57. Southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm  in the evening.

    Low: 57 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11am.  Sunny, with a high near 75. South wind 5 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.

    High: 75 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 58. Southwest wind 5 to 7 mph becoming calm  in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 15 mph.

    Low: 58 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Thursday

    Thursday: A 10 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11am.  Sunny, with a high near 77. South wind 5 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph.

    High: 77 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms

Detailed Forecast

Overnight
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 59. Calm wind.
Monday
Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before 5pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 72. Light and variable wind becoming southeast around 6 mph. Winds could gust as high as 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Monday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2am, then a slight chance of showers. Patchy fog after 2am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 55. Light and variable wind. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Tuesday
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11am. Patchy fog before 11am. Otherwise, mostly sunny, with a high near 75. Calm wind becoming south 5 to 9 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 22 mph.
Tuesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 57. Southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Wednesday
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11am. Sunny, with a high near 75. South wind 5 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.
Wednesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 58. Southwest wind 5 to 7 mph becoming calm in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 15 mph.
Thursday
A 10 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11am. Sunny, with a high near 77. South wind 5 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph.
Thursday Night
A 10 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11pm. Mostly clear, with a low around 59. South wind around 6 mph becoming calm after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 15 mph.
Friday
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 11am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 76. South wind 5 to 8 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph.
Friday Night
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 59. Light and variable wind.
Saturday
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 76. Light and variable wind becoming south around 6 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 17 mph.
Saturday Night
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 60. Light and variable wind becoming east around 5 mph in the evening.
Sunday
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 79. East wind around 7 mph becoming south in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
10 Miles NW Sedona AZ
 34.97°N 111.89°W (Elev. 6460 ft)
3:12 am MST Aug 31, 2026
4am MST Aug 31, 2026-6pm MST Sep 6, 2026
 
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Additional Resources

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