Heavy Rainfall and Severe Thunderstorm Threats; Heat Risk Expands; Monitoring the Tropics

Flash flooding risks continue for portions of the Four Corners and Great Basin through today. Severe thunderstorms are outlooked from the eastern Great Lakes, southern New England into the mid-Atlantic through Tuesday. Heat risk increases and expands across the center of the nation and across the Ohio Valley and mid-Atlantic this week. Continue to closely monitor tropical development in the Gulf. Read More >

Current conditions at

OAK CREEK (QOCA3)

Lat: 34.94686°NLon: 111.75444°WElev: 4804.0ft.

NA

74°F

23°C

Humidity 59%
Wind Speed SSE 2 MPH
Barometer NA
Dewpoint 59°F (15°C)
Visibility NA
Last update 31 Aug 02:03 PM MST
Extended Forecast for

10 Miles NW Sedona AZ

Flood Watch August 31, 02:18pm until September 1, 12:00am
Click here for hazard details and duration
Flood Watch
  •  
    Flood Watch August 31, 02:18pm until September 1, 12:00am

    NOW until 12:00am Tue

    Flood Watch

  • This Afternoon

    High: 72 °F

    T-storms
    Likely

  • Tonight

    Tonight: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 11pm, then a slight chance of showers between 11pm and 2am.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 56. East wind around 6 mph becoming light and variable  after midnight.  Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    Low: 56 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Slight Chance
    Showers

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 11am.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 76. Southeast wind 5 to 14 mph becoming southwest in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 21 mph.

    High: 76 °F

    Chance
    T-storms

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 57. South wind 5 to 9 mph becoming light and variable  after midnight.

    Low: 57 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: A 10 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11am.  Sunny, with a high near 76. Southwest wind 7 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.

    High: 76 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 58. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light south  after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 16 mph.

    Low: 58 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Thursday

    Thursday: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11am.  Sunny, with a high near 77. South wind 8 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph.

    High: 77 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: A 30 percent chance of showers after 11pm.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 58. South wind 5 to 8 mph becoming calm  after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 18 mph.

    Low: 58 °F

    Chance
    Showers

Detailed Forecast

This Afternoon
Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before 5pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 72. South wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Tonight
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 11pm, then a slight chance of showers between 11pm and 2am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 56. East wind around 6 mph becoming light and variable after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Tuesday
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 11am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 76. Southeast wind 5 to 14 mph becoming southwest in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 21 mph.
Tuesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 57. South wind 5 to 9 mph becoming light and variable after midnight.
Wednesday
A 10 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11am. Sunny, with a high near 76. Southwest wind 7 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.
Wednesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 58. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light south after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 16 mph.
Thursday
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11am. Sunny, with a high near 77. South wind 8 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph.
Thursday Night
A 30 percent chance of showers after 11pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 58. South wind 5 to 8 mph becoming calm after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 18 mph.
Friday
Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 11am. Partly sunny, with a high near 74. South wind 6 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Friday Night
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 58. South wind around 6 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Saturday
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 74. Light and variable wind becoming south 5 to 7 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 17 mph.
Saturday Night
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 58. Calm wind becoming east around 5 mph.
Sunday
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 76. East wind around 6 mph becoming southwest in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 17 mph.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
10 Miles NW Sedona AZ
 34.97°N 111.89°W (Elev. 6460 ft)
11:32 am MST Aug 31, 2026
2pm MST Aug 31, 2026-6pm MST Sep 6, 2026
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database