Heavy Rainfall and Flooding Concerns in the Southwest; Coastal Low to Impact the East Coast

Deep tropical moisture will lead to widespread showers and thunderstorms capable of producing flash flooding through early next week over the Southwest and Four Corners. A coastal storm is expected to develop off the southeast U.S. coast tonight and is expected to strengthen and bring flooding, dangerous rip currents, gusty winds and heavy rain up much of the East Coast through early next week. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

OAK CREEK (QOCA3)

Lat: 34.94686°NLon: 111.75444°WElev: 4804.0ft.

NA

58°F

14°C

Humidity 91%
Wind Speed N 3 MPH
Barometer NA
Dewpoint 55°F (13°C)
Visibility NA
Last update 10 Oct 09:03 PM MST
Extended Forecast for

7 Miles SSW Kachina Village AZ

Flood Watch October 10, 10:11pm until October 12, 12:00am
Click here for hazard details and duration
Flood Watch
  •  
    Flood Watch October 10, 10:11pm until October 12, 12:00am

    NOW until 12:00am Sun

    Flood Watch

  • Tonight

    Low: 51 °F

    Showers

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm.  High near 65. South wind 6 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 90%.

    High: 65 °F

    Showers

  • Saturday Night

    Saturday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 46. Southwest wind 7 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 29 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 70%.

    Low: 46 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Sunday

    Sunday: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 65. Southwest wind around 7 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph.

    High: 65 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: A 30 percent chance of showers after 11pm.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 43. Light south wind.

    Low: 43 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Columbus Day

    Columbus Day: A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms.  Partly sunny, with a high near 62. South wind 8 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 29 mph.

    High: 62 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 43. South wind 8 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph.

    Low: 43 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: A 30 percent chance of showers, mainly before 11am.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 63. South wind 11 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph.

    High: 63 °F

    Chance
    Showers

Detailed Forecast

Tonight
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Low around 51. Calm wind becoming south around 5 mph after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
Saturday
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. High near 65. South wind 6 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
Saturday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 46. Southwest wind 7 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 29 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Sunday
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 65. Southwest wind around 7 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph.
Sunday Night
A 30 percent chance of showers after 11pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 43. Light south wind.
Columbus Day
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 62. South wind 8 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 29 mph.
Monday Night
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 43. South wind 8 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph.
Tuesday
A 30 percent chance of showers, mainly before 11am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 63. South wind 11 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph.
Tuesday Night
A 20 percent chance of showers after 11pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 43. South wind around 8 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Wednesday
A slight chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 11am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 63. South wind 10 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 31 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Wednesday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 39. South wind 6 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph.
Thursday
Sunny, with a high near 60. South wind 8 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.
Thursday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 34. South wind around 6 mph becoming light and variable after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 15 mph.
Friday
Sunny, with a high near 60. Southwest wind 6 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
7 Miles SSW Kachina Village AZ
 35.01°N 111.73°W (Elev. 6335 ft)
9:45 pm MST Oct 10, 2025
10pm MST Oct 10, 2025-6pm MST Oct 17, 2025
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database