National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Heavy Rainfall Threat Continues in the Southwest on Monday; Record Warmth in the Plains and Midwest

Remnant moisture from Tropical Storm Rachel will persist over portions of the Great Basin and Southwest on Monday, bringing a potential heavy to excessive rainfall risk. Well above average and potentially record breaking temperatures will develop across the Plains and Midwest early this week, spreading into the Lower Mississippi Valley and Southeast midweek. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

MORMON LAKE (QMOA3)

Lat: 34.90972°NLon: 111.43842°WElev: 7094.0ft.

NA

49°F

9°C

Humidity 97%
Wind Speed S 7 MPH
Barometer NA
Dewpoint 48°F (9°C)
Visibility NA
Wind Chill46°F (8°C)
Last update 12 Oct 12:03 AM MST
Extended Forecast for

16 Miles ENE Munds Park AZ

Flood Watch October 12, 12:47am until October 12, 05:00pm
Click here for hazard details and duration
Flood Watch
  •  
    Flood Watch October 12, 12:47am until October 12, 05:00pm

    NOW until 5:00pm Mon

    Flood Watch

  • Overnight

    Low: 46 °F

    Chance
    Showers and
    Breezy

  • Columbus Day

    Columbus Day: A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 8am. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 56. Breezy, with a southwest wind 21 to 28 mph, with gusts as high as 43 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

    High: 56 °F

    Chance
    Showers and
    Breezy

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 45. Windy, with a southwest wind 22 to 31 mph, with gusts as high as 46 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

    Low: 45 °F

    Showers
    Likely and
    Windy

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: A 50 percent chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 53. Windy, with a southwest wind 28 to 33 mph decreasing to 21 to 26 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 48 mph.

    High: 53 °F

    Chance
    Showers and
    Windy

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 37. West wind 5 to 9 mph becoming light after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 18 mph.

    Low: 37 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 53. Northwest wind 6 to 8 mph becoming northeast in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 18 mph.

    High: 53 °F

    Sunny

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Clear, with a low around 34. Light north wind becoming northeast 8 to 13 mph in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 22 mph.

    Low: 34 °F

    Clear

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Sunny, with a high near 54. Northeast wind around 18 mph, with gusts as high as 34 mph.

    High: 54 °F

    Sunny

Detailed Forecast

Overnight
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 46. Breezy, with a southwest wind around 29 mph, with gusts as high as 43 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Columbus Day
A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 8am. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 56. Breezy, with a southwest wind 21 to 28 mph, with gusts as high as 43 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Monday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 45. Windy, with a southwest wind 22 to 31 mph, with gusts as high as 46 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Tuesday
A 50 percent chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 53. Windy, with a southwest wind 28 to 33 mph decreasing to 21 to 26 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 48 mph.
Tuesday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 37. West wind 5 to 9 mph becoming light after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 18 mph.
Wednesday
Sunny, with a high near 53. Northwest wind 6 to 8 mph becoming northeast in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 18 mph.
Wednesday Night
Clear, with a low around 34. Light north wind becoming northeast 8 to 13 mph in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 22 mph.
Thursday
Sunny, with a high near 54. Northeast wind around 18 mph, with gusts as high as 34 mph.
Thursday Night
Clear, with a low around 36. Breezy, with a northeast wind 17 to 22 mph, with gusts as high as 36 mph.
Friday
Sunny, with a high near 56. Breezy, with an east wind 18 to 26 mph, with gusts as high as 40 mph.
Friday Night
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 36. Northeast wind 7 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.
Saturday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 54. Northeast wind 7 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph.
Saturday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 37. Calm wind.
Sunday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 58. Calm wind becoming east 5 to 7 mph. Winds could gust as high as 15 mph.
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Forecast Area
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
16 Miles ENE Munds Park AZ
 35.07°N 111.41°W (Elev. 6998 ft)
Last Update:
11:32 pm MST Oct 11, 2026
Forecast Valid:
12am MST Oct 12, 2026-6pm MST Oct 18, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation