National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Heavy Rainfall and Flooding Concerns in the Southwest; Coastal Low to Impact the East Coast

Deep tropical moisture will lead to widespread showers and thunderstorms capable of producing flash flooding through early next week over the Southwest and Four Corners. A coastal storm is expected to impact the southeast U.S. coast and mid-Atlantic regions with flooding, dangerous rip currents, gusty winds and heavy rain up much of the East Coast through early next week. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Flagstaff Pulliam Airport (KFLG)

Lat: 35.14433°NLon: 111.66637°WElev: 6994.0ft.

Overcast

57°F

14°C

Humidity 87%
Wind Speed SSW 11 MPH
Barometer 30.1 in (1019.3 mb)
Dewpoint 54°F (12°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 11 Oct 12:20 PM MST
Extended Forecast for

3 Miles SSW Flagstaff AZ

Flood Watch October 11, 12:30pm until October 12, 12:00am
Click here for hazard details and duration
Flood Watch
  •  
    Flood Watch October 11, 12:30pm until October 12, 12:00am

    NOW until 12:00am Sun

    Flood Watch

  • This Afternoon

    High: 63 °F⇓

    Showers
    Likely

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 8pm and 2am, then a chance of showers after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 43. Southwest wind 8 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    Low: 43 °F

    Showers
    Likely then
    Chance
    Showers

  • Sunday

    Sunday: A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 64. Light and variable wind becoming southwest 5 to 8 mph in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    High: 64 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: A chance of showers between 11pm and 2am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2am. Patchy fog after 4am. Otherwise, increasing clouds, with a low around 40. South wind around 5 mph becoming calm after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Low: 40 °F

    Chance
    Showers and
    Patchy Fog

  • Columbus Day

    Columbus Day: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8am, then a chance of showers between 8am and 11am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11am. Partly sunny, with a high near 60. South wind 6 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

    High: 60 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: A 40 percent chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 40. South wind 7 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph.

    Low: 40 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: A 20 percent chance of showers. Mostly sunny, with a high near 61. South wind 9 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph.

    High: 61 °F

    Slight Chance
    Showers

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 39. South wind around 7 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.

    Low: 39 °F

    Mostly Clear

Detailed Forecast

This Afternoon
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Mostly cloudy, with a temperature falling to around 58 by 5pm. Southwest wind 14 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Tonight
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 8pm and 2am, then a chance of showers after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 43. Southwest wind 8 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Sunday
A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 64. Light and variable wind becoming southwest 5 to 8 mph in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Sunday Night
A chance of showers between 11pm and 2am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2am. Patchy fog after 4am. Otherwise, increasing clouds, with a low around 40. South wind around 5 mph becoming calm after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Columbus Day
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8am, then a chance of showers between 8am and 11am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11am. Partly sunny, with a high near 60. South wind 6 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Monday Night
A 40 percent chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 40. South wind 7 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph.
Tuesday
A 20 percent chance of showers. Mostly sunny, with a high near 61. South wind 9 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph.
Tuesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 39. South wind around 7 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Wednesday
Sunny, with a high near 61. Southwest wind 9 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph.
Wednesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 34. Southwest wind 3 to 8 mph. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.
Thursday
Sunny, with a high near 59. South wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph.
Thursday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 29. Southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Friday
Sunny, with a high near 58. Calm wind becoming south 5 to 8 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.
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Forecast Area
Tiles ©ESRI

ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
3 Miles SSW Flagstaff AZ
 35.15°N 111.67°W (Elev. 6998 ft)
Last Update:
10:01 am MST Oct 11, 2025
Forecast Valid:
12pm MST Oct 11, 2025-6pm MST Oct 17, 2025
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

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Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation