Erin Strengthens to a Hurricane; Heavy Rainfall Possible in Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands, the Upper Midwest, South Texas

Hurricane Erin may bring isolated flash and urban flooding, landslides or mudslides, and possible tropical storm conditions to Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands this weekend. Scattered thunderstorms and heavy rainfall may bring areas of flooding this weekend over the Upper Midwest. A tropical disturbance will bring locally heavy rain and mainly urban flash flooding to far southern Texas. Read More >

Current conditions at

I-40 @ Painted Desert NP HQ (AZT13)

Lat: 35.0637°NLon: 109.77562°WElev: 5745.0ft.

NA

83°F

28°C

Humidity 22%
Wind Speed WSW 6 MPH
Barometer NA
Dewpoint 40°F (4°C)
Visibility 1.24 mi
Heat Index81°F (27°C)
Last update 16 Aug 06:22 PM MST
Extended Forecast for

42 Miles SW St. Michaels AZ

  • Tonight

    Tonight: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 9pm and midnight.  Mostly clear, with a low around 58. West wind 5 to 9 mph becoming light and variable.  Chance of precipitation is 10%.

    Low: 58 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    Mostly Clear

  • Sunday

    Sunday: Sunny, with a high near 87. Calm wind becoming west 5 to 9 mph in the afternoon.

    High: 87 °F

    Sunny

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 56. West wind 5 to 8 mph becoming northeast after midnight.

    Low: 56 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Monday

    Monday: Sunny, with a high near 91. Light and variable wind becoming west 5 to 7 mph in the afternoon.

    High: 91 °F

    Sunny

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 60. West wind 7 to 10 mph becoming southeast after midnight.

    Low: 60 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon.  Sunny, with a high near 92. South wind 5 to 7 mph.

    High: 92 °F

    Sunny then
    Slight Chance
    T-storms

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 62. Southeast wind 7 to 9 mph.

    Low: 62 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    Mostly Clear

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon.  Sunny, with a high near 93. Southeast wind 9 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph.

    High: 93 °F

    Sunny then
    Chance
    T-storms

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 61. Southeast wind 8 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph.

    Low: 61 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    Mostly Clear

Detailed Forecast

Tonight
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 9pm and midnight. Mostly clear, with a low around 58. West wind 5 to 9 mph becoming light and variable. Chance of precipitation is 10%.
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 87. Calm wind becoming west 5 to 9 mph in the afternoon.
Sunday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 56. West wind 5 to 8 mph becoming northeast after midnight.
Monday
Sunny, with a high near 91. Light and variable wind becoming west 5 to 7 mph in the afternoon.
Monday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 60. West wind 7 to 10 mph becoming southeast after midnight.
Tuesday
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Sunny, with a high near 92. South wind 5 to 7 mph.
Tuesday Night
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 62. Southeast wind 7 to 9 mph.
Wednesday
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Sunny, with a high near 93. Southeast wind 9 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph.
Wednesday Night
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 61. Southeast wind 8 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph.
Thursday
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Sunny, with a high near 94. Southeast wind 6 to 8 mph becoming west in the afternoon.
Thursday Night
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 61. West wind around 8 mph becoming south after midnight.
Friday
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 93. South wind around 8 mph becoming east in the afternoon.
Friday Night
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 62. East wind around 8 mph becoming southeast after midnight.
Saturday
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 91. Southeast wind around 8 mph.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
42 Miles SW St. Michaels AZ
 35.29°N 109.7°W (Elev. 5997 ft)
5:01 pm MDT Aug 16, 2025
7pm MDT Aug 16, 2025-6pm MDT Aug 23, 2025
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database