Flooding Risks from Tropical Moisture Across the Southeast and Southwest

Tropical moisture from Isaias and Rachel will impact portions of the Southeast and Southwest this weekend. Flash flooding, strong winds and even a threat for severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible. Meanwhile, strong winds and dry fuels are raising fire weather concerns across the central Great Basin and western High Plains. Across the northern Rockies, first winter storm of the season. Read More >

Current conditions at

I-40 @ Painted Desert NP HQ (AZT13)

Lat: 35.0637°NLon: 109.77562°WElev: 5745.0ft.

NA

58°F

14°C

Humidity 71%
Wind Speed SE 9 MPH
Barometer NA
Dewpoint 49°F (9°C)
Visibility 1.24 mi
Last update 11 Oct 04:53 AM MST
Extended Forecast for

28 Miles SW St. Michaels AZ

Wind Advisory October 11, 09:00am until October 11, 09:00pm
Click here for hazard details and duration
Wind Advisory
  • Today

    Today: A slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 9am.  Partly sunny, with a high near 69. Breezy, with a southeast wind 15 to 20 mph becoming south 23 to 28 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 44 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 50%.

    High: 69 °F

    Breezy.
    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    Chance
    Showers

  • Tonight

    Tonight: A 40 percent chance of showers, mainly before midnight.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 51. Breezy, with a south wind 20 to 25 mph decreasing to 13 to 18 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 43 mph.

    Low: 51 °F

    Chance
    Showers and
    Breezy

  • Columbus Day

    Columbus Day: A slight chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 3pm.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 64. Breezy, with a southwest wind 11 to 16 mph increasing to 18 to 23 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 34 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    High: 64 °F

    Slight Chance
    Showers then
    Slight Chance
    T-storms and
    Breezy

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after midnight.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 52. Southwest wind 16 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 32 mph.

    Low: 52 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    Chance
    Showers

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms.  Partly sunny, with a high near 60. South wind 16 to 21 mph, with gusts as high as 33 mph.

    High: 60 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 9pm, then a slight chance of showers between 9pm and midnight, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after midnight.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 42. Southwest wind 11 to 16 mph becoming light west  after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 26 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    Low: 42 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 58. West wind 3 to 8 mph. Winds could gust as high as 15 mph.

    High: 58 °F

    Sunny

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 38. Northwest wind 7 to 10 mph becoming northeast after midnight.

    Low: 38 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Sunny, with a high near 62. Northeast wind 6 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 17 mph.

    High: 62 °F

    Sunny

Detailed Forecast

Today
A slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 9am. Partly sunny, with a high near 69. Breezy, with a southeast wind 15 to 20 mph becoming south 23 to 28 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 44 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Tonight
A 40 percent chance of showers, mainly before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 51. Breezy, with a south wind 20 to 25 mph decreasing to 13 to 18 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 43 mph.
Columbus Day
A slight chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 3pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 64. Breezy, with a southwest wind 11 to 16 mph increasing to 18 to 23 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 34 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Monday Night
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 52. Southwest wind 16 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 32 mph.
Tuesday
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 60. South wind 16 to 21 mph, with gusts as high as 33 mph.
Tuesday Night
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 9pm, then a slight chance of showers between 9pm and midnight, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 42. Southwest wind 11 to 16 mph becoming light west after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 26 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Wednesday
Sunny, with a high near 58. West wind 3 to 8 mph. Winds could gust as high as 15 mph.
Wednesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 38. Northwest wind 7 to 10 mph becoming northeast after midnight.
Thursday
Sunny, with a high near 62. Northeast wind 6 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 17 mph.
Thursday Night
Clear, with a low around 43. North wind 10 to 16 mph becoming east after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 26 mph.
Friday
Sunny, with a high near 62. East wind 15 to 21 mph, with gusts as high as 32 mph.
Friday Night
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly clear, with a low around 42. East wind 15 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 32 mph.
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 62. Southeast wind 13 to 18 mph decreasing to 7 to 12 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 30 mph.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
28 Miles SW St. Michaels AZ
 35.43°N 109.49°W (Elev. 6398 ft)
4:27 am MDT Oct 11, 2026
6am MDT Oct 11, 2026-6pm MDT Oct 17, 2026
 
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Additional Resources

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