Heavy Rainfall and Flooding Concerns in the Southwest; Coastal Low to Impact the East Coast

Deep tropical moisture will lead to widespread showers and thunderstorms capable of producing flash flooding through early next week over the Southwest and Four Corners. A coastal storm is expected to develop off the southeast U.S. coast tonight and is expected to strengthen and bring flooding, dangerous rip currents, gusty winds and heavy rain up much of the East Coast through early next week. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

I-40 @ Painted Desert NP HQ (AZT13)

Lat: 35.0637°NLon: 109.77562°WElev: 5745.0ft.

Rain

58°F

14°C

Humidity 95%
Wind Speed E 1 MPH
Barometer NA
Dewpoint 57°F (14°C)
Visibility 1.24 mi
Last update 11 Oct 01:22 AM MST
Extended Forecast for

31 Miles SSE Keams Canyon AZ

Flood Watch October 11, 02:31am until October 12, 01:00am
Click here for hazard details and duration
Flood Watch
  •  
    Flood Watch October 11, 02:31am until October 12, 01:00am

    NOW until 1:00am Sun

    Flood Watch

  • Overnight

    Low: 60 °F

    Showers

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm.  High near 69. West wind 7 to 16 mph becoming southeast in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 24 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 90%.

    High: 69 °F

    Showers

  • Saturday Night

    Saturday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after midnight.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 53. Southwest wind 8 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    Low: 53 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Showers
    Likely

  • Sunday

    Sunday: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before noon.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 68. Southwest wind around 7 mph.

    High: 68 °F

    Chance
    Showers then
    Slight Chance
    T-storms

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after midnight.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 50. Southwest wind around 6 mph becoming southeast in the evening.

    Low: 50 °F

    Partly Cloudy
    then Slight
    Chance
    T-storms

  • Columbus Day

    Columbus Day: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms.  Partly sunny, with a high near 67. Southeast wind 6 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph.

    High: 67 °F

    Chance
    T-storms

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after midnight.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 51. South wind 8 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.

    Low: 51 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    Chance
    Showers

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before noon.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 68. South wind 8 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph.

    High: 68 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    Sunny

Detailed Forecast

Overnight
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Steady temperature around 60. North wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Saturday
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. High near 69. West wind 7 to 16 mph becoming southeast in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 24 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
Saturday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 53. Southwest wind 8 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Sunday
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before noon. Mostly sunny, with a high near 68. Southwest wind around 7 mph.
Sunday Night
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 50. Southwest wind around 6 mph becoming southeast in the evening.
Columbus Day
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 67. Southeast wind 6 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph.
Monday Night
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 51. South wind 8 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Tuesday
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before noon. Mostly sunny, with a high near 68. South wind 8 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph.
Tuesday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 49. South wind 6 to 10 mph becoming southeast after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 17 mph.
Wednesday
Sunny, with a high near 71. Southeast wind 7 to 17 mph becoming southwest in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 25 mph.
Wednesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 46. Southwest wind 6 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph.
Thursday
Sunny, with a high near 66. South wind 6 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph.
Thursday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 41. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light and variable. Winds could gust as high as 17 mph.
Friday
Sunny, with a high near 65. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph becoming southwest in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 17 mph.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
31 Miles SSE Keams Canyon AZ
 35.43°N 109.91°W (Elev. 5807 ft)
10:45 pm MDT Oct 10, 2025
2am MDT Oct 11, 2025-6pm MDT Oct 17, 2025
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database