National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Excessive Rainfall and Tropical Storm in the South; Severe Thunderstorms in the Midwest

Excessive rainfall may produce considerable, potentially life-threatening, flooding across the lower Mississippi River Valley and central Great Lakes region through tonight. Tropical Storm Arthur will move northeastward along the Texas coast today and then move inland over southwestern Louisiana by tonight. An outbreak of severe thunderstorms is expected across portions of Illinois and Indiana. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Muskogee-Davis Regional Airport (KMKO)

Lat: 35.66°NLon: 95.36°WElev: 607ft.

Fair

90°F

32°C

Humidity 56%
Wind Speed S 20 G 31 mph
Barometer 29.58 in (1000.8 mb)
Dewpoint 72°F (22°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Heat Index98°F (37°C)
Last update 17 Jun 4:53 pm CDT
Extended Forecast for

Tahlequah Municipal Airport OK

  • Tonight

    Tonight: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 4am. Increasing clouds, with a low around 74. South wind 5 to 15 mph becoming east after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.

    Low: 74 °F

    Mostly Clear
    then Slight
    Chance
    T-storms

  • Thursday

    Thursday: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 7am. Partly sunny, with a high near 84. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph becoming northeast in the afternoon.

    High: 84 °F

    Chance
    T-storms

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 1am. Increasing clouds, with a low around 67. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

    Low: 67 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Showers
    Likely

  • Juneteenth

    Juneteenth: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 10am, then a chance of showers between 10am and 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 83. Northeast wind around 5 mph becoming southeast in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    High: 83 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms, then a chance of showers after 1am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 70. Southeast wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

    Low: 70 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    Chance
    Showers

  • Saturday

    Saturday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 84. South wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    High: 84 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Showers
    Likely

  • Saturday Night

    Saturday Night: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 1am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 73. South wind 5 to 10 mph.

    Low: 73 °F

    Chance
    T-storms

  • Sunday

    Sunday: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 88. South wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.

    High: 88 °F

    Chance
    T-storms

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Low around 72. South wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    Low: 72 °F

    Showers

Detailed Forecast

Tonight
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 4am. Increasing clouds, with a low around 74. South wind 5 to 15 mph becoming east after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.
Thursday
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 7am. Partly sunny, with a high near 84. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph becoming northeast in the afternoon.
Thursday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 1am. Increasing clouds, with a low around 67. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Juneteenth
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 10am, then a chance of showers between 10am and 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 83. Northeast wind around 5 mph becoming southeast in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Friday Night
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms, then a chance of showers after 1am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 70. Southeast wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Saturday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 84. South wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Saturday Night
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 1am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 73. South wind 5 to 10 mph.
Sunday
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 88. South wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.
Sunday Night
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Low around 72. South wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Monday
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 83. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph becoming northwest in the afternoon.
Monday Night
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 69. East wind around 5 mph.
Tuesday
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 83. South wind around 5 mph.
Tuesday Night
A 40 percent chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 69. Southeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Wednesday
A 40 percent chance of showers. Mostly sunny, with a high near 84. Calm wind becoming south around 5 mph in the afternoon.
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Forecast Area
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
Tahlequah Municipal Airport OK
 35.92°N 95°W
Last Update:
2:50 pm CDT Jun 17, 2026
Forecast Valid:
5pm CDT Jun 17, 2026-6pm CDT Jun 24, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

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Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation