National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Heavy to Excessive Rainfall for the Southwest U.S.; Watching for Possible East Coast Storm

Thunderstorms and a chance for some isolated flash flooding will continue today in the Southwest U.S. before an influx of tropical moisture from Priscilla brings widespread heavy rainfall and a flash flooding threat late this week into this weekend. A coastal storm may develop off the southeast U.S. coast Friday night and drift north just off the Mid-Atlantic coast through the weekend. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

NAVAJO MONUMENT (QNMA3)

Lat: 36.67667°NLon: 110.54389°WElev: 7204.0ft.

NA

76°F

24°C

Humidity 17%
Wind Speed WSW 8 MPH
Barometer NA
Dewpoint 28°F (-2°C)
Visibility NA
Heat Index76°F (24°C)
Last update 08 Oct 04:36 PM MDT
Extended Forecast for

14 Miles NW Rough Rock AZ

Flood Watch October 9, 01:00pm until October 12, 01:00am
Click here for hazard details and duration
Flood Watch

  • Tonight

    Tonight: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 58. South wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph.

    Low: 58 °F

    Partly Cloudy
    then Slight
    Chance
    T-storms

  • Thursday

    Thursday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after noon. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 69. South wind 8 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 16 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    High: 69 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Showers
    Likely

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Cloudy, with a low around 58. South wind 6 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

    Low: 58 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Friday

    Friday: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Cloudy, with a high near 65. Southeast wind 6 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

    High: 65 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Cloudy, with a low around 56. Southwest wind 7 to 10 mph becoming south in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

    Low: 56 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. High near 67. South wind 10 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    High: 67 °F

    Showers

  • Saturday Night

    Saturday Night: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 55. Southwest wind 15 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph.

    Low: 55 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Chance
    Showers

  • Sunday

    Sunday: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 67. Southwest wind 9 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph.

    High: 67 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 51. Southwest wind 7 to 9 mph.

    Low: 51 °F

    Partly Cloudy

Detailed Forecast

Tonight
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 58. South wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph.
Thursday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after noon. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 69. South wind 8 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 16 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Thursday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Cloudy, with a low around 58. South wind 6 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Friday
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Cloudy, with a high near 65. Southeast wind 6 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Friday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Cloudy, with a low around 56. Southwest wind 7 to 10 mph becoming south in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Saturday
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. High near 67. South wind 10 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Saturday Night
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 55. Southwest wind 15 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph.
Sunday
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 67. Southwest wind 9 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph.
Sunday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 51. Southwest wind 7 to 9 mph.
Columbus Day
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 67. South wind 9 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph.
Monday Night
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 51. South wind 11 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph.
Tuesday
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 67. South wind 14 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph.
Tuesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 50. Southwest wind 10 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Wednesday
Sunny, with a high near 65. South wind 10 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
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Forecast Area
Tiles ©ESRI

ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
14 Miles NW Rough Rock AZ
 36.52°N 110.09°W (Elev. 5997 ft)
Last Update:
4:28 pm MDT Oct 8, 2025
Forecast Valid:
5pm MDT Oct 8, 2025-6pm MDT Oct 15, 2025
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

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High Temperature

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Chance of Precipitation