Heavy Rainfall in the Southern Plains and Mississippi Valley; Thunderstorms in Eastern Colorado on Thursday

A multiple day heavy rainfall event will begin to set up from the Southern Plains into the Mississippi Valley Thursday, peaking in intensity over the holiday weekend. Widely scattered thunderstorms are expected to develop across eastern Colorado Thursday afternoon and evening. Large hail will be the primary hazard. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Ponca City, Ponca City Municipal Airport (KPNC)

Lat: 36.73°NLon: 97.1°WElev: 1007ft.

Overcast

60°F

16°C

Humidity 78%
Wind Speed E 9 mph
Barometer 30.09 in (1018.4 mb)
Dewpoint 53°F (12°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 20 May 6:53 pm CDT
Extended Forecast for

2 Miles W Fairfax OK

  • Tonight

    Tonight: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1am.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 56. East wind 5 to 10 mph.

    Low: 56 °F

    Mostly Cloudy
    then Chance
    Showers

  • Thursday

    Thursday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 10am.  High near 68. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph becoming east in the afternoon.  Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

    High: 68 °F

    Showers

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm.  Low around 59. East wind around 5 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.

    Low: 59 °F

    Showers

  • Friday

    Friday: A 20 percent chance of showers before 1pm.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 78. Calm wind becoming southwest around 5 mph in the afternoon.

    High: 78 °F

    Slight Chance
    Showers

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm.  Low around 59. Southeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm.  Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    Low: 59 °F

    Showers

  • Saturday

    Saturday: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 77. Calm wind becoming east around 5 mph in the afternoon.

    High: 77 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms

  • Saturday Night

    Saturday Night: Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before 1am.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 59. Northeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm  in the evening.  Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    Low: 59 °F

    T-storms
    Likely

  • Sunday

    Sunday: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1pm.  Partly sunny, with a high near 79. Calm wind becoming east around 5 mph in the afternoon.

    High: 79 °F

    Mostly Cloudy
    then Slight
    Chance
    T-storms

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 60. East wind around 5 mph becoming calm  in the evening.

    Low: 60 °F

    Partly Cloudy

Detailed Forecast

Tonight
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 56. East wind 5 to 10 mph.
Thursday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 10am. High near 68. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph becoming east in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Thursday Night
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Low around 59. East wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.
Friday
A 20 percent chance of showers before 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 78. Calm wind becoming southwest around 5 mph in the afternoon.
Friday Night
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Low around 59. Southeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Saturday
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 77. Calm wind becoming east around 5 mph in the afternoon.
Saturday Night
Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 59. Northeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Sunday
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 79. Calm wind becoming east around 5 mph in the afternoon.
Sunday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 60. East wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Memorial Day
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 81. Calm wind becoming east around 5 mph in the afternoon.
Monday Night
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 61. East wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Tuesday
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 80. Light southeast wind increasing to 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.
Tuesday Night
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 64. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph.
Wednesday
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 83. South wind 5 to 10 mph.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
2 Miles W Fairfax OK
 36.56°N 96.73°W
6:50 pm CDT May 20, 2026
7pm CDT May 20, 2026-6pm CDT May 27, 2026
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database