National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Excessive Rainfall and Significant Flooding in the Upper Midwest This Weekend

Heavy to excessive rainfall is expected over the weekend across eastern Iowa, northern Missouri, northwest Illinois and southern Wisconsin. Numerous flash floods, some with significant impacts, are expected in these areas. Heaviest rainfall will occur overnight Saturday and Sunday, so be sure to have multiple ways to receive warnings. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Grove, Grove Municipal Airport (KGMJ)

Lat: 36.61°NLon: 94.74°WElev: 833ft.

Fair

88°F

31°C

Humidity NA
Wind Speed Vrbl 6 mph
Barometer 30.07 in
Dewpoint N/A
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 10 Aug 11:55 am CDT
Extended Forecast for

Welch OK

Heat Advisory August 10, 01:00pm until August 10, 08:00pm
Click here for hazard details and duration
Heat Advisory

  • This Afternoon

    This Afternoon: A slight chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 3pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 95. Heat index values as high as 103. South wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    High: 95 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms

  • Tonight

    Tonight: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 71. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph.

    Low: 71 °F

    Chance
    T-storms

  • Monday

    Monday: A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly sunny, with a high near 91. East wind 5 to 10 mph becoming south in the afternoon. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 91 °F

    Chance
    T-storms

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 70. South wind around 5 mph.

    Low: 70 °F

    Chance
    T-storms

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 4pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 89. Southwest wind around 5 mph.

    High: 89 °F

    Chance
    T-storms

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 7pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 69. Northwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm.

    Low: 69 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 91. Calm wind becoming south around 5 mph.

    High: 91 °F

    Chance
    T-storms

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 70. Southeast wind around 5 mph.

    Low: 70 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Thursday

    Thursday: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 92. South wind around 5 mph.

    High: 92 °F

    Mostly Sunny
    then Slight
    Chance
    T-storms

Detailed Forecast

This Afternoon
A slight chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 3pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 95. Heat index values as high as 103. South wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Tonight
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 71. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph.
Monday
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly sunny, with a high near 91. East wind 5 to 10 mph becoming south in the afternoon. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Monday Night
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 70. South wind around 5 mph.
Tuesday
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 4pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 89. Southwest wind around 5 mph.
Tuesday Night
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 7pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 69. Northwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm.
Wednesday
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 91. Calm wind becoming south around 5 mph.
Wednesday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 70. Southeast wind around 5 mph.
Thursday
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 92. South wind around 5 mph.
Thursday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 72. Southeast wind around 5 mph.
Friday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 93. South wind 5 to 10 mph.
Friday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 73. South wind 5 to 10 mph.
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 94. South wind 5 to 10 mph.
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Forecast Area
Tiles ©ESRI

ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
Welch OK
 36.88°N 95.08°W
Last Update:
11:51 am CDT Aug 10, 2025
Forecast Valid:
12pm CDT Aug 10, 2025-6pm CDT Aug 16, 2025
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation