Heavy Rainfall and Flooding Concerns in the Southwest; Coastal Low to Impact the East Coast

Deep tropical moisture will lead to widespread showers and thunderstorms capable of producing flash flooding through early next week over the Southwest and Four Corners. A coastal storm is expected to develop off the southeast U.S. coast tonight and is expected to strengthen and bring flooding, dangerous rip currents, gusty winds and heavy rain up much of the East Coast through early next week. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

WX7FGZ-3 Tsaile (AT907)

Lat: 36.29533°NLon: 109.22267°WElev: 7042.0ft.

NA

52°F

11°C

Humidity 95%
Wind Speed S 1 MPH
Barometer 30.0 in (1015.92 mb)
Dewpoint 51°F (11°C)
Visibility NA
Last update 10 Oct 09:05 PM MDT
Extended Forecast for

4 Miles WSW Teec Nos Pos AZ

Flood Watch October 10, 09:29pm until October 12, 01:00am
Click here for hazard details and duration
Flood Watch
  •  
    Flood Watch October 10, 09:29pm until October 12, 01:00am

    NOW until 1:00am Sun

    Flood Watch

  • Tonight

    Low: 55 °F

    Showers

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm.  High near 70. Southeast wind 11 to 15 mph becoming southwest in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 22 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 100%.

    High: 70 °F

    Showers then
    Showers
    Likely

  • Saturday Night

    Saturday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before midnight, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after midnight.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 53. Southwest wind 11 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    Low: 53 °F

    Showers
    Likely then
    Chance
    T-storms

  • Sunday

    Sunday: A 10 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 9am.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 66. West wind 9 to 13 mph becoming northwest in the afternoon.

    High: 66 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    Sunny

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 48. North wind 8 to 10 mph becoming southeast after midnight.

    Low: 48 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Columbus Day

    Columbus Day: A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms.  Partly sunny, with a high near 66. Southeast wind 10 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph.

    High: 66 °F

    Chance
    Showers then
    Chance
    T-storms

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 51. Southeast wind 15 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph.

    Low: 51 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Chance
    Showers

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before noon.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 69. Southeast wind 14 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph.

    High: 69 °F

    Chance
    Showers then
    Slight Chance
    T-storms

Detailed Forecast

Tonight
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Low around 55. East wind 11 to 13 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
Saturday
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. High near 70. Southeast wind 11 to 15 mph becoming southwest in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 22 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%.
Saturday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before midnight, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 53. Southwest wind 11 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Sunday
A 10 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 9am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 66. West wind 9 to 13 mph becoming northwest in the afternoon.
Sunday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 48. North wind 8 to 10 mph becoming southeast after midnight.
Columbus Day
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 66. Southeast wind 10 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph.
Monday Night
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 51. Southeast wind 15 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph.
Tuesday
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before noon. Mostly sunny, with a high near 69. Southeast wind 14 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph.
Tuesday Night
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 50. Southeast wind 13 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Wednesday
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 71. Southeast wind 15 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph.
Wednesday Night
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 49. South wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph.
Thursday
Sunny, with a high near 67. South wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph.
Thursday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 44. Southwest wind 6 to 11 mph becoming south after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 16 mph.
Friday
Sunny, with a high near 65. South wind 6 to 11 mph becoming southwest in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 16 mph.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
4 Miles WSW Teec Nos Pos AZ
 36.9°N 109.13°W (Elev. 5568 ft)
4:40 pm MDT Oct 10, 2025
9pm MDT Oct 10, 2025-6pm MDT Oct 17, 2025
 
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Additional Resources

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