Risks of Severe Thunderstorms and Excessive Rainfall in the Central U.S.; Fire Weather Concerns in Alaska and Southwest

An expansive storm system will bring widespread storms with a threat for flash flooding and severe weather to much of the central to eastern U.S. into early this week. Critical fire weather conditions are expected across interior Alaska this weekend. Elevated fire conditions also expected in the Southwest U.S.. Conditions will remain uncomfortably hot across the southern Plains and the Southeast. Read More >

Current conditions at

Ponca City, Ponca City Municipal Airport (KPNC)

Lat: 36.73°NLon: 97.1°WElev: 1007ft.

Overcast

76°F

24°C

Humidity 88%
Wind Speed E 9 mph
Barometer 29.76 in (1006.2 mb)
Dewpoint 72°F (22°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Heat Index76°F (24°C)
Last update 21 Jun 3:53 am CDT
Extended Forecast for

5 Miles SW Chilocco OK

Heat Advisory June 21, 01:00pm until June 21, 08:00pm
Click here for hazard details and duration
Heat Advisory
  • Overnight

    Overnight: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 73. South wind around 17 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph.

    Low: 73 °F

    Chance
    T-storms

  • Sunday

    Sunday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 10am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 4pm.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 95. Heat index values as high as 104. South southwest wind 16 to 22 mph, with gusts as high as 33 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    High: 95 °F

    Chance
    T-storms

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 1am.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 66. South wind 8 to 10 mph becoming north in the evening.  New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

    Low: 66 °F

    Chance
    T-storms

  • Monday

    Monday: Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming sunny, with a high near 80. Northeast wind 10 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.

    High: 80 °F

    Decreasing
    Clouds

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 1am.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 65. East northeast wind 7 to 10 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    Low: 65 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Showers
    Likely

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 10am, then a chance of showers between 10am and 1pm.  Partly sunny, with a high near 83. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    High: 83 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Chance
    Showers

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 1am.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 68. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

    Low: 68 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Showers
    Likely

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 1pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1pm.  Partly sunny, with a high near 83. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    High: 83 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 67. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    Low: 67 °F

    Showers
    Likely

Detailed Forecast

Overnight
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 73. South wind around 17 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph.
Sunday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 10am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 4pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 95. Heat index values as high as 104. South southwest wind 16 to 22 mph, with gusts as high as 33 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Sunday Night
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 66. South wind 8 to 10 mph becoming north in the evening. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Monday
Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming sunny, with a high near 80. Northeast wind 10 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Monday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 1am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 65. East northeast wind 7 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Tuesday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 10am, then a chance of showers between 10am and 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 83. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Tuesday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 68. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Wednesday
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 1pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 83. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Wednesday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 67. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Thursday
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 83.
Thursday Night
Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 68. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Friday
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 87.
Friday Night
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 73.
Saturday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 92.
Basemap Options
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
5 Miles SW Chilocco OK
 36.94°N 97.13°W
3:27 am CDT Jun 21, 2026
4am CDT Jun 21, 2026-6pm CDT Jun 27, 2026
 
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Additional Resources

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Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database