National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Flooding Risks from Tropical Moisture Across the Southeast and Southwest

Tropical moisture from Isaias and Rachel will impact portions of the Southeast and Southwest this weekend. Flash flooding, strong winds and even a threat for severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible. Meanwhile, strong winds and dry fuels are raising fire weather concerns across the central Great Basin and western High Plains. Across the northern Rockies, first winter storm of the season. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

WARM SPRINGS CANYON (QWSA3)

Lat: 36.70117°NLon: 112.22689°WElev: 7953.0ft.

NA

60°F

16°C

Humidity 60%
Wind Speed WSW 3 MPH
Barometer NA
Dewpoint 46°F (8°C)
Visibility NA
Last update 10 Oct 01:47 PM MST
Extended Forecast for

Fredonia AZ

Flood Watch October 10, 02:20pm until October 12, 05:00am
Wind Advisory October 11, 08:00am until October 11, 08:00pm
Click here for hazard details and duration
Flood Watch
Wind Advisory
  •  
    Flood Watch October 10, 02:20pm until October 12, 05:00am

    NOW until 5:00am Mon

    Flood Watch

  • This Afternoon

    High: 78 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 8pm and 11pm, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 11pm. Low around 53. South wind 5 to 8 mph becoming east after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 90%.

    Low: 53 °F

    Showers

  • Sunday

    Sunday: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 11am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 11am and 2pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. High near 73. Breezy, with a southeast wind 6 to 11 mph becoming south 18 to 23 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 38 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    High: 73 °F

    Showers and
    Breezy

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 48. South wind 11 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 33 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

    Low: 48 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Columbus Day

    Columbus Day: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. High near 65. South wind 9 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.

    High: 65 °F

    Showers

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Low around 43. Southwest wind 8 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    Low: 43 °F

    Showers

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8am, then showers likely between 8am and 11am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11am. Partly sunny, with a high near 59. Southwest wind 8 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

    High: 59 °F

    Showers
    Likely then
    Chance
    Showers

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 34. Light southwest wind.

    Low: 34 °F

    Partly Cloudy

Detailed Forecast

This Afternoon
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Cloudy, with a high near 78. South wind 14 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Tonight
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 8pm and 11pm, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 11pm. Low around 53. South wind 5 to 8 mph becoming east after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
Sunday
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 11am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 11am and 2pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. High near 73. Breezy, with a southeast wind 6 to 11 mph becoming south 18 to 23 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 38 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Sunday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 48. South wind 11 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 33 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Columbus Day
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. High near 65. South wind 9 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
Monday Night
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Low around 43. Southwest wind 8 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Tuesday
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8am, then showers likely between 8am and 11am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11am. Partly sunny, with a high near 59. Southwest wind 8 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Tuesday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 34. Light southwest wind.
Wednesday
Sunny, with a high near 62. Calm wind becoming west around 5 mph in the afternoon.
Wednesday Night
Clear, with a low around 36. Calm wind becoming north around 6 mph after midnight.
Thursday
Sunny, with a high near 67. East wind 7 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Thursday Night
Clear, with a low around 39. Northeast wind 6 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph.
Friday
Sunny, with a high near 68. East wind 13 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.
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Forecast Area
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
Fredonia AZ
 36.96°N 112.51°W (Elev. 4741 ft)
Last Update:
11:32 am MST Oct 10, 2026
Forecast Valid:
2pm MST Oct 10, 2026-6pm MST Oct 16, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation