Heavy Lake Effect Snow Downwind of Lakes Erie and Ontario; Fire Weather Concerns in the Southern Plains and Southeast

A multi-day heavy lake effect snow event is expected downwind of Lakes Erie and Ontario through New Year's Day. There is increasing confidence in snow squalls causing bursts of snow & gusty winds on New Year's Eve. Elevated fire weather conditions will continue today over parts of the Southern Plains and across much of the Southeast U.S. Read More >

Current conditions at

Cortez-Montezuma County Airport (KCEZ)

Lat: 37.31°NLon: 108.63°WElev: 5902ft.

Fair

44°F

7°C

Humidity 31%
Wind Speed SW 6 mph
Barometer 30.39 in (1030.1 mb)
Dewpoint 15°F (-9°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Wind Chill41°F (5°C)
Last update 30 Dec 1:53 pm MST
Extended Forecast for

14 Miles NW Waterflow NM

  • This Afternoon

    This Afternoon: Sunny, with a high near 45. Southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm.

    High: 45 °F

    Sunny

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Partly cloudy, with a low around 22. Calm wind becoming north around 5 mph.

    Low: 22 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 48. East wind around 5 mph becoming calm.

    High: 48 °F

    Mostly Sunny

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: A chance of rain and snow showers after 11pm.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 32. Calm wind becoming east around 5 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 50%.

    Low: 32 °F

    Chance
    Rain/Snow

  • New Year's Day

    New Year's Day: Showers likely, mainly before 11am.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 47. East wind around 5 mph becoming calm.  Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    High: 47 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: Showers likely, mainly after 11pm.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 36. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    Low: 36 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Friday

    Friday: A 20 percent chance of showers before 11am.  Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming sunny, with a high near 52.

    High: 52 °F

    Slight Chance
    Showers then
    Mostly Sunny

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 31.

    Low: 31 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Partly sunny, with a high near 52.

    High: 52 °F

    Partly Sunny

Detailed Forecast

This Afternoon
Sunny, with a high near 45. Southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm.
Tonight
Partly cloudy, with a low around 22. Calm wind becoming north around 5 mph.
Wednesday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 48. East wind around 5 mph becoming calm.
Wednesday Night
A chance of rain and snow showers after 11pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 32. Calm wind becoming east around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
New Year's Day
Showers likely, mainly before 11am. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 47. East wind around 5 mph becoming calm. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Thursday Night
Showers likely, mainly after 11pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 36. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Friday
A 20 percent chance of showers before 11am. Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming sunny, with a high near 52.
Friday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 31.
Saturday
Partly sunny, with a high near 52.
Saturday Night
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 31.
Sunday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 53.
Sunday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 30.
Monday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 50.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
14 Miles NW Waterflow NM
 36.97°N 108.55°W (Elev. 5607 ft)
2:15 pm MST Dec 30, 2025
2pm MST Dec 30, 2025-6pm MST Jan 5, 2026
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database