Severe Weather Threats Across the Plains; Dangerous Heat and Wildfire Concerns for the West; Watching the Tropics

Severe thunderstorms are expected across the Central Plains accompanied by damaging wind gusts and large hail. In addition, heavy rainfall may lead to instances of flash flooding from the Plains and mid-Atlantic regions. The heavy rainfall threat continues across Florida and across the northern Gulf as we monitor a tropical disturbance tracking westward. Critical fire weather for the Great Basin. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Pagosa Springs, Wolf Creek Pass (KCPW)

Lat: 37.45°NLon: 106.8°WElev: 11759ft.

Partly Cloudy

61°F

16°C

Humidity 29%
Wind Speed NW 3 mph
Barometer 30.66 in
Dewpoint 28°F (-2°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 15 Jul 11:55 am MDT
Extended Forecast for

12 Miles NE Chama NM

  • This Afternoon

    This Afternoon: A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 2pm.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 70. Calm wind becoming northwest around 5 mph.  New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 70 °F

    Chance
    T-storms

  • Tonight

    Tonight: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 9pm, then a slight chance of showers between 9pm and 10pm.  Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly clear, with a low around 48. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light west  in the evening.  Chance of precipitation is 20%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 48 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    Partly Cloudy

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after noon.  Increasing clouds, with a high near 70. West wind around 5 mph becoming south southwest in the afternoon.  Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 70 °F

    Mostly Sunny
    then Showers
    Likely

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 44. North wind around 5 mph becoming east in the evening.  New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 44 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Mostly Cloudy

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Showers and thunderstorms, mainly after noon.  High near 66. North northwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming south in the morning.  Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 66 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    T-storms

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before midnight, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between midnight and 3am, then a chance of showers after 3am.  Low around 43. South southwest wind around 5 mph becoming west after midnight.  Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 43 °F

    Showers then
    Chance
    Showers

  • Friday

    Friday: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm after noon.  High near 66. West southwest wind 5 to 10 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    High: 66 °F

    Partly Sunny
    then T-storms

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 45. West wind 5 to 10 mph.

    Low: 45 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Partly Cloudy

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Showers and thunderstorms likely after noon.  Partly sunny, with a high near 67. West southwest wind 5 to 10 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 70%.

    High: 67 °F

    Mostly Sunny
    then T-storms
    Likely

Detailed Forecast

This Afternoon
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 70. Calm wind becoming northwest around 5 mph. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tonight
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 9pm, then a slight chance of showers between 9pm and 10pm. Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly clear, with a low around 48. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light west in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 20%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Wednesday
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after noon. Increasing clouds, with a high near 70. West wind around 5 mph becoming south southwest in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Wednesday Night
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 44. North wind around 5 mph becoming east in the evening. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Thursday
Showers and thunderstorms, mainly after noon. High near 66. North northwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming south in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Thursday Night
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before midnight, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between midnight and 3am, then a chance of showers after 3am. Low around 43. South southwest wind around 5 mph becoming west after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Friday
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm after noon. High near 66. West southwest wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Friday Night
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 45. West wind 5 to 10 mph.
Saturday
Showers and thunderstorms likely after noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 67. West southwest wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Saturday Night
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 44. West southwest wind 5 to 10 mph.
Sunday
Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly sunny, with a high near 66. West southwest wind 5 to 10 mph.
Sunday Night
A chance of showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 44. West wind 5 to 10 mph.
Monday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 68. West wind 5 to 10 mph.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
12 Miles NE Chama NM
 37.03°N 106.45°W (Elev. 10197 ft)
9:48 am MDT Jul 15, 2025
12pm MDT Jul 15, 2025-6pm MDT Jul 21, 2025
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

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Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database