Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Pueblo, CO

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FXUS65 KPUB 200947

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
347 AM MDT Sat Oct 20 2018

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 345 AM MDT Sat Oct 20 2018

Overall, generally tranquil and mild meteorological conditions are
anticipated over south-central and southeastern Colorado during the
next 24 hours.

Currently:  Latest satellite and radar data as well as near/real-
time information and surface observations show that dry conditions
in combination with low-grade winds and near seasonal temperatures
are occuring across southern Colorado early this morning.

Recent forecast model soundings, high resolution computer
simulations and real-time data suggest that upper ridging will
continue to build into southern Colorado during the next 24 hours,
allowing dry conditions, generally low-grade winds and slightly
above seasonal later October maximum and minimum temperatures to
be realized over the CWA during the next 24 hours.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday through Friday)
Issued at 345 AM MDT Sat Oct 20 2018

An upper level ridge will be over the area on Sun, with dry weather
expected, and temps that are around average in the high valleys and
above average over the southeast plains.

On Monday, a broad upper trof over the western states will move
closer to CO, and some moisture is expected to be drawn up from the
southwest into western CO, bringing a chance for showers/tstms to
the southern and central mtns.  Temps Mon area expected to be a
little cooler over the southeast plains as weak front moves into the
area early in the day, while the high valleys will generally
continue to see around average high temps.

Tue, the upper trof will be over UT and AZ, and a disturbance is
forecast to move from NM into CO.  Moisture being drawn into the
area from the south looks plentiful and chances for precip look
good, especially over southern areas during the day, and then
increasing over southeast and east central CO for the evening and
late night hours as the upper trof moves over CO.  Temps on Tue will
be several degrees cooler and below average.  A few inches of snow
will be possible over the high elevations.

The upper trof will exit the area late in the day Wed, but the
weather will be unsettled thru the day.  The eastern plains will
likely see the highest precip chances, as well as Pikes Peak and
Teller county and the Palmer Dvd.  Thunderstorms will be possible
over the mtns and nearby locations.  The high elevations will see
additional snow accumulations. Temps will remain below average on

Mainly dry weather will return for Thu, although there could be a
few light showers over the mtns. On Fri, an upper disturbance is
forecast to moves over CO in the northwest flow aloft, bringing
chances for precip to some of the mtns during  the day, and then
spreading to the southeast plains Fri evening.


.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Sunday morning)
Issued at 345 AM MDT Sat Oct 20 2018

VFR conditions are projected to continue over the KALS, KCOS and
KPUB taf sites during the next 24 hours as upper ridging continues
to build across southern Colorado.




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