National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Southwest Monsoon Flooding; Northern Tier Storms and Fire Weather Threats

Monsoon rains up to 2 to 4 inches in some portions of Arizona and into Mexico may produce flash flooding of normally dry washes and potential for burn scar debris flows. A weather system may produce severe storms with damaging winds and large hail in the Upper Midwest. Gusty winds in the North Plains will keep fire weather threats critical. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Pagosa Springs, Wolf Creek Pass (KCPW)

Lat: 37.45°NLon: 106.8°WElev: 11759ft.

Thunderstorm

13°C

55°F

Humidity 82%
Wind Speed SW 19 G 26 km/h
Barometer 30.71 in
Dewpoint 10°C (50°F)
Visibility 16 km
Wind Chill11°C (52°F)
Last update 23 Jul 1:55 pm MDT
Extended Forecast for

14 Miles NNE Chama NM

Flash Flood Watch until July 24, 12:00am
Click here for hazard details and duration
Flash Flood Watch
  •  
    Flash Flood Watch until July 24, 12:00am

    NOW until
    12:00am Sat

    Flash Flood Watch

  • This
    Afternoon

    This Afternoon: Showers and thunderstorms. Some of the storms could produce heavy rain. High near 17. East northeast wind around 10 km/h. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between 1 and 2.5 mm, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Heavy Rain

    High: 17 °C

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 9pm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rain. Low around 8. East wind 10 to 15 km/h becoming west in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between 1 and 2.5 mm, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Heavy Rain

    Low: 8 °C

  • Saturday

    Saturday: A slight chance of showers, then showers and thunderstorms likely after 9am. Partly sunny, with a high near 16. East northeast wind 20 to 25 km/h. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between 1 and 2.5 mm, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    T-storms
    Likely

    High: 16 °C

  • Saturday
    Night

    Saturday Night: A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 8. East southeast wind 10 to 20 km/h becoming west northwest after midnight. New precipitation amounts of less than 1 mm, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Partly Cloudy

    Low: 8 °C

  • Sunday

    Sunday: A slight chance of showers before 9am, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 9am and noon, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after noon. High near 15. West northwest wind 10 to 15 km/h becoming south in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between 2.5 and 5 mm possible.

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    T-storms

    High: 15 °C

  • Sunday
    Night

    Sunday Night: A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 7. West southwest wind 10 to 15 km/h. New precipitation amounts of less than 1 mm, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Mostly Cloudy

    Low: 7 °C

  • Monday

    Monday: Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 14. West wind 10 to 15 km/h becoming south southwest in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    T-storms
    Likely

    High: 14 °C

  • Monday
    Night

    Monday Night: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 8. Northwest wind 10 to 15 km/h.

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Mostly Cloudy

    Low: 8 °C

Detailed Forecast

This Afternoon
Showers and thunderstorms. Some of the storms could produce heavy rain. High near 17. East northeast wind around 10 km/h. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between 1 and 2.5 mm, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tonight
Showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 9pm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rain. Low around 8. East wind 10 to 15 km/h becoming west in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between 1 and 2.5 mm, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Saturday
A slight chance of showers, then showers and thunderstorms likely after 9am. Partly sunny, with a high near 16. East northeast wind 20 to 25 km/h. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between 1 and 2.5 mm, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Saturday Night
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 8. East southeast wind 10 to 20 km/h becoming west northwest after midnight. New precipitation amounts of less than 1 mm, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Sunday
A slight chance of showers before 9am, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 9am and noon, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after noon. High near 15. West northwest wind 10 to 15 km/h becoming south in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between 2.5 and 5 mm possible.
Sunday Night
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 7. West southwest wind 10 to 15 km/h. New precipitation amounts of less than 1 mm, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Monday
Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 14. West wind 10 to 15 km/h becoming south southwest in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Monday Night
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 8. Northwest wind 10 to 15 km/h.
Tuesday
Showers and thunderstorms likely after noon. Mostly sunny, with a high near 16. West northwest wind 10 to 15 km/h becoming southwest in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Tuesday Night
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 8. West southwest wind 10 to 15 km/h.
Wednesday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 16. North wind around 15 km/h becoming south southwest in the afternoon.
Wednesday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 8. Southwest wind around 15 km/h.
Thursday
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 17. North wind around 15 km/h becoming south southeast in the afternoon.
Click Map For Forecast
Disclaimer
Map Legend
Point Forecast:
14 Miles NNE Chama NM
 37.08°N 106.45°W (Elev. 3535 m)
Last Update:
10:41 am MDT Jul 23, 2021
Forecast Valid:
2pm MDT Jul 23, 2021-6pm MDT Jul 29, 2021
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation