National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Excessive Rainfall and Potential Tropical Cyclone in the South; Severe Thunderstorms in the Midwest

Excessive rainfall may produce locally considerable flash flooding over parts of the northwestern Gulf Coast, lower Mississippi River Valley, and Deep South through Thursday. Potential Tropical Cyclone One is forecast to become a tropical storm (Arthur) as it moves along or just off the northwestern Gulf coast through Wednesday. An outbreak of severe weather is forecast in the Midwest Wednesday. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Cape Girardeau, Cape Girardeau Regional Airport (KCGI)

Lat: 37.23°NLon: 89.58°WElev: 341ft.

Fair

70°F

21°C

Humidity 82%
Wind Speed Calm
Barometer 29.77 in (1007.7 mb)
Dewpoint 64°F (18°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 16 Jun 9:53 pm CDT
Extended Forecast for

Commerce MO

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 63. Calm wind.

    Low: 63 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 88. Breezy, with a south southwest wind 7 to 12 mph increasing to 19 to 24 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 36 mph.

    High: 88 °F

    Mostly Sunny
    then Mostly
    Sunny and
    Breezy

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 1am. Increasing clouds, with a low around 74. Breezy, with a south southwest wind 11 to 21 mph, with gusts as high as 32 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    Low: 74 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms and
    Breezy then
    Showers
    Likely

  • Thursday

    Thursday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 87. Southwest wind 6 to 9 mph becoming north in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

    High: 87 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Showers
    Likely

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 1am, then a chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 64. North wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    Low: 64 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Juneteenth

    Juneteenth: Mostly sunny, with a high near 83. Calm wind becoming north northeast around 5 mph in the morning.

    High: 83 °F

    Mostly Sunny

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 63. North wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.

    Low: 63 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 86. Calm wind becoming south around 5 mph in the afternoon.

    High: 86 °F

    Mostly Sunny

  • Saturday Night

    Saturday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 1am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 68. South southeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm.

    Low: 68 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    Chance
    Showers

Detailed Forecast

Tonight
Mostly clear, with a low around 63. Calm wind.
Wednesday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 88. Breezy, with a south southwest wind 7 to 12 mph increasing to 19 to 24 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 36 mph.
Wednesday Night
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 1am. Increasing clouds, with a low around 74. Breezy, with a south southwest wind 11 to 21 mph, with gusts as high as 32 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Thursday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 87. Southwest wind 6 to 9 mph becoming north in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Thursday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 1am, then a chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 64. North wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Juneteenth
Mostly sunny, with a high near 83. Calm wind becoming north northeast around 5 mph in the morning.
Friday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 63. North wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Saturday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 86. Calm wind becoming south around 5 mph in the afternoon.
Saturday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 1am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 68. South southeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm.
Sunday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 85. South southwest wind 6 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph.
Sunday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 71. South southwest wind 11 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Monday
Showers and thunderstorms likely. Partly sunny, with a high near 85. West wind around 11 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Monday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 68. North wind 3 to 8 mph.
Tuesday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 85. North wind 3 to 6 mph.
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Forecast Area
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
Commerce MO
 37.15°N 89.46°W
Last Update:
2:28 pm CDT Jun 16, 2026
Forecast Valid:
10pm CDT Jun 16, 2026-6pm CDT Jun 23, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation