Severe Thunderstorms and Heavy Rainfall in the Ohio Valley and Great Lakes; Winter Weather in the Northern Tier

A slow moving front extending from the Great Lakes region into the Plains will bring snow, wintry mix, and ice accumulation north of the front from the Upper Midwest into New England, and severe weather and heavy rain south of the front. Scattered severe thunderstorms with damaging gusts, severe hail, and heavy rain are expected across parts of the Great Lakes/Midwest through tonight. Read More >

Current conditions at

Merced Regional Airport (KMCE)

Lat: 37.28306°NLon: 120.50778°WElev: 154.0ft.

Overcast

63°F

17°C

Humidity 82%
Wind Speed ESE 5 MPH
Barometer 29.86 in (1011.18 mb)
Dewpoint 57°F (14°C)
Visibility 9.00 mi
Last update 31 Mar 06:15 PM PDT
Extended Forecast for

5 Miles NW Chowchilla CA

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then rain, mainly between 8pm and 11pm.  Low around 51. East southeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm  after midnight.  Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 51 °F

    Showers then
    Chance Rain

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: A 20 percent chance of rain after 11am.  Partly sunny, with a high near 71. Calm wind becoming south around 5 mph in the afternoon.

    High: 71 °F

    Slight Chance
    Rain

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: A 50 percent chance of rain.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 49. West northwest wind 5 to 10 mph.  New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.

    Low: 49 °F

    Chance Rain

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Partly sunny, then gradually becoming sunny, with a high near 66. Northwest wind 5 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.

    High: 66 °F

    Becoming
    Sunny

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: Clear, with a low around 41. Northwest wind 5 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.

    Low: 41 °F

    Clear

  • Friday

    Friday: Sunny, with a high near 74. North northwest wind around 5 mph becoming west southwest in the morning.

    High: 74 °F

    Sunny

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 45. North northwest wind around 5 mph.

    Low: 45 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Sunny, with a high near 81. Calm wind becoming west northwest around 5 mph in the afternoon.

    High: 81 °F

    Sunny

  • Saturday Night

    Saturday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 49. North northwest wind around 5 mph.

    Low: 49 °F

    Mostly Clear

Detailed Forecast

Tonight
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then rain, mainly between 8pm and 11pm. Low around 51. East southeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Wednesday
A 20 percent chance of rain after 11am. Partly sunny, with a high near 71. Calm wind becoming south around 5 mph in the afternoon.
Wednesday Night
A 50 percent chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 49. West northwest wind 5 to 10 mph. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Thursday
Partly sunny, then gradually becoming sunny, with a high near 66. Northwest wind 5 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.
Thursday Night
Clear, with a low around 41. Northwest wind 5 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.
Friday
Sunny, with a high near 74. North northwest wind around 5 mph becoming west southwest in the morning.
Friday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 45. North northwest wind around 5 mph.
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 81. Calm wind becoming west northwest around 5 mph in the afternoon.
Saturday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 49. North northwest wind around 5 mph.
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 84. Calm wind becoming northwest around 5 mph in the afternoon.
Sunday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 51. North northwest wind around 5 mph.
Monday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 82. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph.
Monday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 50. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph.
Tuesday
Sunny, with a high near 80. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
5 Miles NW Chowchilla CA
 37.17°N 120.31°W (Elev. 213 ft)
5:56 pm PDT Mar 31, 2026
6pm PDT Mar 31, 2026-6pm PDT Apr 7, 2026
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database