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Hawaii and Guam Concerns; Record Warmth Spreads Eastward; Heavy Snow for Sierra-Nevada; Severe Weather for the Plains

A very active spring pattern with tropical concerns across the Pacific. Heavy rainfall will continue to impact Hawaii this weekend. Meanwhile we continue to monitor a developing typhoon that may affect Guam into early next week. For the Lower 48, heavy snow for mountains of California this weekend, increase threat for severe thunderstorms next week for the Plains and record warmth spreads east. Read More >

Current conditions at

Merced Regional Airport (KMCE)

Lat: 37.28306°NLon: 120.50778°WElev: 154.0ft.

Overcast

54°F

12°C

Humidity 87%
Wind Speed SW 4 MPH
Barometer 29.83 in (1010.16 mb)
Dewpoint 50°F (10°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 11 Apr 11:00 PM PDT
Extended Forecast for

8 Miles SE Merced CA

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Low around 48. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming east southeast after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 48 °F

    Showers

  • Sunday

    Sunday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 11am, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 11am and 5pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 5pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 63. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph becoming west southwest in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 63 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm, then a chance of rain between 8pm and 11pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 44. Northwest wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    Low: 44 °F

    Chance
    Showers then
    Partly Cloudy

  • Monday

    Monday: Sunny, with a high near 66. Light northwest wind increasing to 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 15 mph.

    High: 66 °F

    Sunny

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 43. North northwest wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph.

    Low: 43 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: Sunny, with a high near 71. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph.

    High: 71 °F

    Sunny

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 44. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph.

    Low: 44 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 73. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph.

    High: 73 °F

    Sunny

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 47. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph.

    Low: 47 °F

    Partly Cloudy

Detailed Forecast

Tonight
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Low around 48. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming east southeast after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Sunday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 11am, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 11am and 5pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 5pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 63. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph becoming west southwest in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Sunday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm, then a chance of rain between 8pm and 11pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 44. Northwest wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Monday
Sunny, with a high near 66. Light northwest wind increasing to 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 15 mph.
Monday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 43. North northwest wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph.
Tuesday
Sunny, with a high near 71. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph.
Tuesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 44. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph.
Wednesday
Sunny, with a high near 73. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph.
Wednesday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 47. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph.
Thursday
Sunny, with a high near 73. Northwest wind 5 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Thursday Night
Clear, with a low around 45. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Friday
Sunny, with a high near 75. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph.
Friday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 45. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph.
Saturday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 80. Calm wind becoming northwest around 5 mph in the afternoon.
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Forecast Area
Tiles ©ESRI

ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
8 Miles SE Merced CA
 37.21°N 120.35°W (Elev. 197 ft)
Last Update:
10:57 pm PDT Apr 11, 2026
Forecast Valid:
11pm PDT Apr 11, 2026-6pm PDT Apr 18, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

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High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation