Arctic Air Mass Lingers for Areas of the East; Critical Fire Weather for Southern Plains; Active Weather Pattern for Hawaii

Arctic air lingers for the east, however, winds will slowly subside and a slow moderating trend starts during the week. Moisture continues to provide rainfall and higher elevation snow for the Pacific Northwest, northern California and northern Rockies through Monday. For the State of Hawaii, dangerous surf conditions with strong winds and heavy rainfall will impact the islands through Monday. Read More >

Current conditions at

Merced Regional Airport (KMCE)

Lat: 37.28306°NLon: 120.50778°WElev: 154.0ft.

Rain

45°F

7°C

Humidity 93%
Wind Speed N 0 MPH
Barometer 30.28 in (1025.4 mb)
Dewpoint 43°F (6°C)
Visibility 8.00 mi
Last update 08 Feb 03:35 AM PST
Extended Forecast for

8 Miles SE Merced CA

Dense Fog Advisory until February 8, 11:00am
Click here for hazard details and duration
Dense Fog Advisory
  •  
    Dense Fog Advisory until February 8, 11:00am

    NOW until 11:00am Sun

    Dense Fog Advisory

  • Overnight

    Low: 45 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Sunday

    Sunday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 67. Calm wind becoming northwest around 5 mph in the afternoon.

    High: 67 °F

    Mostly Sunny

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: Increasing clouds, with a low around 48. Northwest wind around 5 mph.

    Low: 48 °F

    Increasing
    Clouds

  • Monday

    Monday: Cloudy, with a high near 58. Northwest wind around 5 mph.

    High: 58 °F

    Cloudy

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: A 10 percent chance of rain after 4am.  Cloudy, with a low around 49. Northwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm.

    Low: 49 °F

    Cloudy then
    Slight Chance
    Rain

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: A chance of rain, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 4pm.  Cloudy, with a high near 58. South southeast wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 58 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 7pm, then rain likely between 7pm and 10pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 10pm.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 46. Southeast wind around 5 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 46 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: A 30 percent chance of rain, mainly before 4pm.  Partly sunny, with a high near 57. South wind around 5 mph.

    High: 57 °F

    Chance Rain

Detailed Forecast

Overnight
Partly cloudy, with a steady temperature around 45. Calm wind.
Sunday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 67. Calm wind becoming northwest around 5 mph in the afternoon.
Sunday Night
Increasing clouds, with a low around 48. Northwest wind around 5 mph.
Monday
Cloudy, with a high near 58. Northwest wind around 5 mph.
Monday Night
A 10 percent chance of rain after 4am. Cloudy, with a low around 49. Northwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm.
Tuesday
A chance of rain, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 4pm. Cloudy, with a high near 58. South southeast wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tuesday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 7pm, then rain likely between 7pm and 10pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 10pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 46. Southeast wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Wednesday
A 30 percent chance of rain, mainly before 4pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 57. South wind around 5 mph.
Wednesday Night
A 20 percent chance of rain before 10pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 41. North northwest wind around 5 mph.
Thursday
Sunny, with a high near 56. Northwest wind around 5 mph.
Thursday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 38. North wind around 5 mph.
Friday
Partly sunny, with a high near 57. Calm wind becoming south around 5 mph.
Friday Night
A 10 percent chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 40. West northwest wind around 5 mph becoming northeast in the evening.
Saturday
A 30 percent chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 55. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
8 Miles SE Merced CA
 37.21°N 120.35°W (Elev. 197 ft)
2:57 am PST Feb 8, 2026
3am PST Feb 8, 2026-6pm PST Feb 14, 2026
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database