Fire Weather in the Central and Southern Plains; Pacific Storms Impacting the West

Gusty to high winds and low relative humidity will bring elevated to critical fire weather to the central and southern Plains into Wednesday. Two Pacific storms will impact the western U.S. into Wednesday with gusty winds, low elevation rain, and heavy mountain snow. Read More >

Current conditions at

Merced Regional Airport (KMCE)

Lat: 37.28306°NLon: 120.50778°WElev: 154.0ft.

light rain,mist

51°F

11°C

Humidity 92%
Wind Speed SE 8 MPH
Barometer 29.65 in (1004.06 mb)
Dewpoint 49°F (9°C)
Visibility 6.00 mi
Last update 16 Feb 05:53 AM PST
Extended Forecast for

8 Miles SE Merced CA

  • Washington's Birthday

    Washington's Birthday: Rain before 1pm, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 1pm.  High near 52. Southeast wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.

    High: 52 °F

    Showers

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Rain and possibly a thunderstorm before 1am, then rain likely.  Low around 42. West southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming south southeast after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 15 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 42 °F

    Showers then
    Showers
    Likely

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: Rain, mainly after 10am.  High near 51. South southeast wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 100%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.

    High: 51 °F

    Rain

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 1am, then rain, mainly between 1am and 4am.  Low around 38. South southeast wind 5 to 10 mph becoming west southwest after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 15 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 38 °F

    Showers

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: A 30 percent chance of rain, mainly after 10am.  Partly sunny, with a high near 49. South southeast wind around 5 mph.

    High: 49 °F

    Chance Rain

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: A 40 percent chance of rain.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 38. East southeast wind around 5 mph.

    Low: 38 °F

    Chance Rain

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Rain likely, mainly before 4pm.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 48. Southeast wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.

    High: 48 °F

    Rain Likely

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: A 40 percent chance of rain, mainly before 10pm.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 36. Northwest wind around 5 mph becoming east after midnight.

    Low: 36 °F

    Chance Rain

  • Friday

    Friday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 51. East wind around 5 mph becoming south in the afternoon.

    High: 51 °F

    Mostly Sunny

Detailed Forecast

Washington's Birthday
Rain before 1pm, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 1pm. High near 52. Southeast wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.
Tonight
Rain and possibly a thunderstorm before 1am, then rain likely. Low around 42. West southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming south southeast after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tuesday
Rain, mainly after 10am. High near 51. South southeast wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Tuesday Night
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 1am, then rain, mainly between 1am and 4am. Low around 38. South southeast wind 5 to 10 mph becoming west southwest after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Wednesday
A 30 percent chance of rain, mainly after 10am. Partly sunny, with a high near 49. South southeast wind around 5 mph.
Wednesday Night
A 40 percent chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 38. East southeast wind around 5 mph.
Thursday
Rain likely, mainly before 4pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 48. Southeast wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Thursday Night
A 40 percent chance of rain, mainly before 10pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 36. Northwest wind around 5 mph becoming east after midnight.
Friday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 51. East wind around 5 mph becoming south in the afternoon.
Friday Night
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 35. East wind around 5 mph.
Saturday
Partly sunny, with a high near 56. South southeast wind 5 to 10 mph.
Saturday Night
A 20 percent chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 40. East southeast wind 5 to 10 mph.
Sunday
A 30 percent chance of rain. Partly sunny, with a high near 60. Southeast wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
8 Miles SE Merced CA
 37.21°N 120.35°W (Elev. 197 ft)
5:57 am PST Feb 16, 2026
6am PST Feb 16, 2026-6pm PST Feb 22, 2026
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

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Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database