Extremely Critical Fire Weather in the Central Plains; Active Pattern in the West

Gusty to high winds and low relative humidity will bring critical to extremely critical fire weather conditions to the central and southern Plains today into Wednesday. Use caution with any potential ignition sources. Two Pacific storms will impact the western U.S. into Wednesday with gusty winds, low elevation rain and heavy mountain snow. Read More >

Current conditions at

Merced Regional Airport (KMCE)

Lat: 37.28306°NLon: 120.50778°WElev: 154.0ft.

light rain,mist

48°F

9°C

Humidity 93%
Wind Speed SSE 9 MPH
Barometer 29.73 in (1006.77 mb)
Dewpoint 46°F (8°C)
Visibility 5.00 mi
Wind Chill44°F (7°C)
Last update 17 Feb 05:20 PM PST
Extended Forecast for

8 Miles SE Merced CA

  • This Afternoon

    This Afternoon: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm.  High near 51. South southwest wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 51 °F

    Showers

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm, mainly before 1am, then rain likely after 1am.  Low around 37. South wind 5 to 10 mph becoming northwest after midnight.  Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 37 °F

    Showers then
    Showers
    Likely

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: A 40 percent chance of rain.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 49. South southeast wind around 5 mph.

    High: 49 °F

    Chance Rain

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Rain likely, mainly after 10pm.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 38. East southeast wind 5 to 10 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.

    Low: 38 °F

    Rain Likely

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Rain, mainly before 4pm.  High near 46. South wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 90%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

    High: 46 °F

    Rain

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: A 30 percent chance of rain before 10pm.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 32. Northwest wind around 5 mph becoming north northeast after midnight.

    Low: 32 °F

    Chance Rain
    then Partly
    Cloudy

  • Friday

    Friday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 50. East wind around 5 mph becoming south in the afternoon.

    High: 50 °F

    Mostly Sunny

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 33. East wind around 5 mph.

    Low: 33 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 56. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.

    High: 56 °F

    Mostly Sunny

Detailed Forecast

This Afternoon
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. High near 51. South southwest wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tonight
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm, mainly before 1am, then rain likely after 1am. Low around 37. South wind 5 to 10 mph becoming northwest after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Wednesday
A 40 percent chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 49. South southeast wind around 5 mph.
Wednesday Night
Rain likely, mainly after 10pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 38. East southeast wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Thursday
Rain, mainly before 4pm. High near 46. South wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Thursday Night
A 30 percent chance of rain before 10pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 32. Northwest wind around 5 mph becoming north northeast after midnight.
Friday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 50. East wind around 5 mph becoming south in the afternoon.
Friday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 33. East wind around 5 mph.
Saturday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 56. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Saturday Night
A 20 percent chance of rain after 10pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 44. East southeast wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph.
Sunday
A 50 percent chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 61. Southeast wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Sunday Night
Rain likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 48. East southeast wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Monday
Rain likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 62. Southeast wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Monday Night
Rain likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 49. Southeast wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Tuesday
Rain likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 61. South wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
8 Miles SE Merced CA
 37.21°N 120.35°W (Elev. 197 ft)
4:57 pm PST Feb 17, 2026
5pm PST Feb 17, 2026-6pm PST Feb 24, 2026
 
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Additional Resources

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