Tracking Areas of Fire Weather, Winter Weather, and Severe Weather Thursday

Continuation of gusty winds and low relative humidity will bring additional periods of critical fire weather to the southern Plains Thursday and Friday. Another Pacific storm will continue gusty winds and heavy snow over the western mountains into Thursday. Severe thunderstorms are possible across parts of the middle Mississippi into lower Ohio Valleys Thursday afternoon into early evening. Read More >

Current conditions at

Merced Regional Airport (KMCE)

Lat: 37.28306°NLon: 120.50778°WElev: 154.0ft.

Rain

45°F

7°C

Humidity 81%
Wind Speed ESE 12 MPH
Barometer 29.86 in (1011.18 mb)
Dewpoint 39°F (4°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Wind Chill39°F (4°C)
Last update 19 Feb 02:55 AM PST
Extended Forecast for

8 Miles SE Merced CA

Freeze Watch February 19, 10:00pm until February 21, 09:00am
Click here for hazard details and duration
Freeze Watch
  • Overnight

    Overnight: Rain.  Low around 39. Wind chill values as low as 32. Southeast wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 90%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.

    Low: 39 °F

    Rain

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Rain before 10am, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 10am and 4pm, then a slight chance of rain and thunderstorms after 4pm.  High near 50. Wind chill values as low as 32 early. Southeast wind 10 to 15 mph becoming west northwest in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 25 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

    High: 50 °F

    Showers then
    Showers
    Likely

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: A 20 percent chance of rain before 10pm.  Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly clear, with a low around 32. West wind around 5 mph becoming east southeast after midnight.

    Low: 32 °F

    Slight Chance
    Rain then
    Mostly Clear

  • Friday

    Friday: Partly sunny, with a high near 50. Wind chill values as low as 30 early. South wind around 5 mph.

    High: 50 °F

    Partly Sunny

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 32. East wind around 5 mph.

    Low: 32 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 56. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.

    High: 56 °F

    Mostly Sunny

  • Saturday Night

    Saturday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 41. East southeast wind 5 to 10 mph.

    Low: 41 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Sunday

    Sunday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 63. Southeast wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.

    High: 63 °F

    Mostly Sunny

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 43. East wind around 5 mph.

    Low: 43 °F

    Mostly Cloudy

Detailed Forecast

Overnight
Rain. Low around 39. Wind chill values as low as 32. Southeast wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Thursday
Rain before 10am, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 10am and 4pm, then a slight chance of rain and thunderstorms after 4pm. High near 50. Wind chill values as low as 32 early. Southeast wind 10 to 15 mph becoming west northwest in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Thursday Night
A 20 percent chance of rain before 10pm. Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly clear, with a low around 32. West wind around 5 mph becoming east southeast after midnight.
Friday
Partly sunny, with a high near 50. Wind chill values as low as 30 early. South wind around 5 mph.
Friday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 32. East wind around 5 mph.
Saturday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 56. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Saturday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 41. East southeast wind 5 to 10 mph.
Sunday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 63. Southeast wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Sunday Night
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 43. East wind around 5 mph.
Monday
Mostly cloudy, with a high near 65. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph.
Monday Night
A 50 percent chance of rain. Cloudy, with a low around 50. East southeast wind around 5 mph. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Tuesday
Rain likely. Cloudy, with a high near 61. Southeast wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Tuesday Night
Rain likely. Cloudy, with a low around 52. East southeast wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Wednesday
A 50 percent chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 62. East wind 5 to 10 mph becoming west northwest in the afternoon. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
8 Miles SE Merced CA
 37.21°N 120.35°W (Elev. 197 ft)
2:57 am PST Feb 19, 2026
3am PST Feb 19, 2026-6pm PST Feb 25, 2026
 
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Additional Resources

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