Hawaii and Guam Concerns; Record Warmth Spreads Eastward; Heavy Snow for Sierra-Nevada; Severe Weather for Plains

A very active spring pattern with tropical concerns across the Pacific. Heavy rainfall will continue to impact Hawaii this weekend. Meanwhile we continue to monitor a developing typhoon that may affect Guam into early next week. For the Lower 48, heavy snow for mountains of California this weekend, increase threat for severe thunderstorms next week for the Plains and record warmth spreads east. Read More >

Current conditions at

Merced Regional Airport (KMCE)

Lat: 37.28306°NLon: 120.50778°WElev: 154.0ft.

Mostly Cloudy

59°F

15°C

Humidity 82%
Wind Speed NE 4 MPH
Barometer 29.87 in (1011.51 mb)
Dewpoint 54°F (12°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 10 Apr 08:35 AM PDT
Extended Forecast for

5 Miles SE Merced CA

  • Today

    Today: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 11am.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 73. South southeast wind 5 to 10 mph becoming southwest in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 15 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 73 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 11pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11pm.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 51. West wind around 5 mph becoming east in the evening.  Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 51 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Saturday

    Saturday: A slight chance of rain between 11am and 2pm, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm.  Increasing clouds, with a high near 70. South southeast wind 5 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    High: 70 °F

    Slight Chance
    Rain then
    Slight Chance
    T-storms

  • Saturday Night

    Saturday Night: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 5am, then rain likely after 5am.  Low around 47. South wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

    Low: 47 °F

    Showers

  • Sunday

    Sunday: Rain likely, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 8am.  High near 60. South southeast wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

    High: 60 °F

    Showers

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 11pm, then a slight chance of rain after 11pm.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 45. South wind around 5 mph becoming east northeast in the evening.  Chance of precipitation is 50%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 45 °F

    Chance
    Showers then
    Slight Chance
    Rain

  • Monday

    Monday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 65. Calm wind becoming northwest around 5 mph in the afternoon.

    High: 65 °F

    Mostly Sunny

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 43. North northwest wind around 5 mph.

    Low: 43 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: Sunny, with a high near 70. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph.

    High: 70 °F

    Sunny

Detailed Forecast

Today
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 11am. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 73. South southeast wind 5 to 10 mph becoming southwest in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tonight
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 11pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 51. West wind around 5 mph becoming east in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Saturday
A slight chance of rain between 11am and 2pm, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Increasing clouds, with a high near 70. South southeast wind 5 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Saturday Night
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 5am, then rain likely after 5am. Low around 47. South wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Sunday
Rain likely, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 8am. High near 60. South southeast wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Sunday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 11pm, then a slight chance of rain after 11pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 45. South wind around 5 mph becoming east northeast in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Monday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 65. Calm wind becoming northwest around 5 mph in the afternoon.
Monday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 43. North northwest wind around 5 mph.
Tuesday
Sunny, with a high near 70. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph.
Tuesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 44. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph.
Wednesday
Sunny, with a high near 73. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph.
Wednesday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 49. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph.
Thursday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 76. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
5 Miles SE Merced CA
 37.25°N 120.39°W (Elev. 190 ft)
7:56 am PDT Apr 10, 2026
8am PDT Apr 10, 2026-6pm PDT Apr 16, 2026
 
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