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Thunderstorms in the Mid-Mississippi Valley and Florida; Fire Weather Concerns in the Northern Plains

Isolated severe storms capable of hail and gusty winds are possible mainly this evening across portions of the mid-Mississippi Valley. Clusters of thunderstorms may produce isolated flash flooding in the Florida peninsula. Elevated fire weather risk is possible in the Northern Plains into western Minnesota. Read More >

Current conditions at

Merced Regional Airport (KMCE)

Lat: 37.28306°NLon: 120.50778°WElev: 154.0ft.

Mostly Cloudy

73°F

23°C

Humidity 43%
Wind Speed N 9 MPH
Barometer 29.82 in (1009.82 mb)
Dewpoint 50°F (10°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 03 May 05:00 PM PDT
Extended Forecast for

5 Miles SE Merced CA

  • Tonight

    Tonight: A 20 percent chance of rain after 11pm. Increasing clouds, with a low around 53. West northwest wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.

    Low: 53 °F

    Slight Chance
    Rain

  • Monday

    Monday: A 20 percent chance of rain before 11am. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 65. Northwest wind around 5 mph.

    High: 65 °F

    Slight Chance
    Rain then
    Partly Sunny

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: A 20 percent chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 52. Northwest wind around 5 mph.

    Low: 52 °F

    Slight Chance
    Rain

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: Partly sunny, with a high near 70. Northwest wind around 5 mph.

    High: 70 °F

    Partly Sunny

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 51. Northwest wind around 5 mph.

    Low: 51 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 80. Northwest wind around 5 mph.

    High: 80 °F

    Sunny

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Clear, with a low around 55. North northwest wind around 5 mph.

    Low: 55 °F

    Clear

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Sunny, with a high near 88. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph.

    High: 88 °F

    Sunny

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 55. North northwest wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph.

    Low: 55 °F

    Mostly Clear

Detailed Forecast

Tonight
A 20 percent chance of rain after 11pm. Increasing clouds, with a low around 53. West northwest wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Monday
A 20 percent chance of rain before 11am. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 65. Northwest wind around 5 mph.
Monday Night
A 20 percent chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 52. Northwest wind around 5 mph.
Tuesday
Partly sunny, with a high near 70. Northwest wind around 5 mph.
Tuesday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 51. Northwest wind around 5 mph.
Wednesday
Sunny, with a high near 80. Northwest wind around 5 mph.
Wednesday Night
Clear, with a low around 55. North northwest wind around 5 mph.
Thursday
Sunny, with a high near 88. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph.
Thursday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 55. North northwest wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph.
Friday
Sunny, with a high near 88. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Friday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 54. Northwest wind 5 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 91. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Saturday Night
Clear, with a low around 57. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 94. Northwest wind around 5 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph.
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Forecast Area
Tiles ©ESRI

ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
5 Miles SE Merced CA
 37.25°N 120.39°W (Elev. 190 ft)
Last Update:
4:56 pm PDT May 3, 2026
Forecast Valid:
5pm PDT May 3, 2026-6pm PDT May 10, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

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National Digital Forecast Database

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High Temperature

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Chance of Precipitation