Severe Weather in the Central Plains; Fire Concerns in the Southern High Plains and Southwest; Late-Season Mountain Snow

Severe storms, including large hail, wind, and perhaps a couple of tornadoes, are possible in the central Plains. Dry, windy conditions and lightning from dry thunderstorms may produce hazardous fire conditions in the Southwest and southern High Plains. Late-season snow is expected in the Northwest and the Great Basin. Heat is spreading across the eastern U.S.. Read More >

Current conditions at

Merced Regional Airport (KMCE)

Lat: 37.28306°NLon: 120.50778°WElev: 154.0ft.

Clear

77°F

25°C

Humidity 24%
Wind Speed NNW 16 MPH
Barometer 29.92 in (1013.21 mb)
Dewpoint 38°F (3°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Heat Index77°F (25°C)
Last update 16 May 11:53 AM PDT
Extended Forecast for

5 Miles SE Merced CA

Red Flag Warning May 16, 12:06pm until May 18, 08:00pm
Click here for hazard details and duration
Red Flag Warning
  •  
    Red Flag Warning May 16, 12:06pm until May 18, 08:00pm

    NOW until 8:00pm Mon

    Red Flag Warning

  • This Afternoon

    High: 83 °F

    Sunny

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 53. Northwest wind 5 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.

    Low: 53 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Sunday

    Sunday: Sunny, with a high near 79. Breezy, with a northwest wind 10 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.

    High: 79 °F

    Sunny then
    Sunny and
    Breezy

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: Clear, with a low around 53. North northwest wind 5 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.

    Low: 53 °F

    Clear

  • Monday

    Monday: Sunny, with a high near 84. North northwest wind around 5 mph becoming west southwest in the morning.

    High: 84 °F

    Sunny

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: Clear, with a low around 54. North northwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm  in the evening.

    Low: 54 °F

    Clear

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: Sunny, with a high near 90. Calm wind becoming west northwest around 5 mph.

    High: 90 °F

    Sunny

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: Clear, with a low around 57. North northwest wind around 5 mph.

    Low: 57 °F

    Clear

Detailed Forecast

This Afternoon
Sunny, with a high near 83. Northwest wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.
Tonight
Mostly clear, with a low around 53. Northwest wind 5 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 79. Breezy, with a northwest wind 10 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.
Sunday Night
Clear, with a low around 53. North northwest wind 5 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.
Monday
Sunny, with a high near 84. North northwest wind around 5 mph becoming west southwest in the morning.
Monday Night
Clear, with a low around 54. North northwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Tuesday
Sunny, with a high near 90. Calm wind becoming west northwest around 5 mph.
Tuesday Night
Clear, with a low around 57. North northwest wind around 5 mph.
Wednesday
Sunny, with a high near 94. Calm wind becoming west northwest around 5 mph in the afternoon.
Wednesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 59. Northwest wind around 5 mph.
Thursday
Sunny, with a high near 96. Calm wind becoming west northwest around 5 mph in the afternoon.
Thursday Night
Clear, with a low around 58. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph.
Friday
Sunny, with a high near 95. West northwest wind around 5 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph.
Basemap Options
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
5 Miles SE Merced CA
 37.25°N 120.39°W (Elev. 190 ft)
11:56 am PDT May 16, 2026
12pm PDT May 16, 2026-6pm PDT May 22, 2026
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database