Critical Fire Weather in the Plains; Severe Thunderstorms in the Upper Mississippi Valley and Great Lakes

Anomalously warm, dry and breezy conditions will bring elevated to critical fire weather conditions across portions of the Intermountain West into the central and southern Plains today. Strong to severe thunderstorms are possible across portions of the upper Mississippi River Valley to the Great Lakes tonight through the day Tuesday. Damaging gusts, hail, and heavy rainfall are likely. Read More >

Current conditions at

Merced Regional Airport (KMCE)

Lat: 37.28306°NLon: 120.50778°WElev: 154.0ft.

Clear

73°F

23°C

Humidity 53%
Wind Speed ESE 4 MPH
Barometer 29.94 in (1013.89 mb)
Dewpoint 55°F (13°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 30 Mar 11:05 AM PDT
Extended Forecast for

Merced CA

  • Today

    Today: Partly sunny, with a high near 84. Northwest wind around 5 mph.

    High: 84 °F

    Partly Sunny

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 57. West northwest wind around 5 mph.

    Low: 57 °F

    Mostly Cloudy

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: A 50 percent chance of rain, mainly after 11am.  Cloudy, with a high near 69. West northwest wind around 5 mph becoming southeast in the morning.  New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.

    High: 69 °F

    Chance Rain

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: Rain likely, mainly before 11pm.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 52. South wind around 5 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 70%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.

    Low: 52 °F

    Rain Likely
    then Chance
    Rain

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: A 30 percent chance of rain, mainly after 11am.  Partly sunny, with a high near 71. South southwest wind around 5 mph.

    High: 71 °F

    Chance Rain

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: A 40 percent chance of rain.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 50. West northwest wind around 5 mph.

    Low: 50 °F

    Chance Rain

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Sunny, with a high near 67. North northwest wind 5 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.

    High: 67 °F

    Sunny

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 42. North northwest wind 5 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.

    Low: 42 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Friday

    Friday: Sunny, with a high near 73. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph.

    High: 73 °F

    Sunny

Detailed Forecast

Today
Partly sunny, with a high near 84. Northwest wind around 5 mph.
Tonight
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 57. West northwest wind around 5 mph.
Tuesday
A 50 percent chance of rain, mainly after 11am. Cloudy, with a high near 69. West northwest wind around 5 mph becoming southeast in the morning. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Tuesday Night
Rain likely, mainly before 11pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 52. South wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Wednesday
A 30 percent chance of rain, mainly after 11am. Partly sunny, with a high near 71. South southwest wind around 5 mph.
Wednesday Night
A 40 percent chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 50. West northwest wind around 5 mph.
Thursday
Sunny, with a high near 67. North northwest wind 5 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Thursday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 42. North northwest wind 5 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Friday
Sunny, with a high near 73. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph.
Friday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 46. North northwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Saturday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 80. Calm wind becoming west northwest around 5 mph.
Saturday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 49. North northwest wind around 5 mph.
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 84. Calm wind becoming northwest around 5 mph in the afternoon.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
Merced CA
 37.28°N 120.48°W (Elev. 180 ft)
10:57 am PDT Mar 30, 2026
11am PDT Mar 30, 2026-6pm PDT Apr 5, 2026
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database