Tracking Atmospheric River for the West Coast; Space Weather Storming Continues

An atmospheric river will bring threats of gusty to high winds and heavy rainfall to California mainly Thursday into Saturday which may bring areas of flooding and wind damage. Heavy snow will be possible over the Sierra Nevada mountains Thursday into Friday associated with the atmospheric river. Minor to severe geomagnetic storming (space weather) is expected to continue into early Thursday. Read More >

Current conditions at

Merced Regional Airport (KMCE)

Lat: 37.28306°NLon: 120.50778°WElev: 154.0ft.

Partly Cloudy

61°F

16°C

Humidity 77%
Wind Speed NNE 4 MPH
Barometer 29.94 in (1013.89 mb)
Dewpoint 54°F (12°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 12 Nov 11:00 PM PST
Extended Forecast for

2 Miles WSW Merced CA

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Rain, mainly after 4am.  Steady temperature around 61. Southeast wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.

    Low: 61 °F

    Rain

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Rain before 1pm, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 1pm.  High near 67. South southeast wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.

    High: 67 °F

    Showers

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 1am, then rain, mainly after 1am.  Low around 54. South wind around 5 mph becoming northeast after midnight.  Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.

    Low: 54 °F

    Showers

  • Friday

    Friday: Rain likely before 1pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 1pm and 4pm, then a chance of rain and thunderstorms after 4pm.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 65. Northwest wind around 5 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 65 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: A 30 percent chance of rain, mainly before 10pm.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 50. Northwest wind around 5 mph.

    Low: 50 °F

    Chance Rain

  • Saturday

    Saturday: A 40 percent chance of rain.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 61. West northwest wind around 5 mph.

    High: 61 °F

    Chance Rain

  • Saturday Night

    Saturday Night: A 50 percent chance of rain.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 51. Southeast wind around 5 mph.  New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

    Low: 51 °F

    Chance Rain

  • Sunday

    Sunday: A 50 percent chance of rain.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 60. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph.  New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.

    High: 60 °F

    Chance Rain

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: A 50 percent chance of rain.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 49. Southeast wind around 5 mph.  New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

    Low: 49 °F

    Chance Rain

Detailed Forecast

Tonight
Rain, mainly after 4am. Steady temperature around 61. Southeast wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Thursday
Rain before 1pm, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 1pm. High near 67. South southeast wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.
Thursday Night
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 1am, then rain, mainly after 1am. Low around 54. South wind around 5 mph becoming northeast after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.
Friday
Rain likely before 1pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 1pm and 4pm, then a chance of rain and thunderstorms after 4pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 65. Northwest wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Friday Night
A 30 percent chance of rain, mainly before 10pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 50. Northwest wind around 5 mph.
Saturday
A 40 percent chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 61. West northwest wind around 5 mph.
Saturday Night
A 50 percent chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 51. Southeast wind around 5 mph. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Sunday
A 50 percent chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 60. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Sunday Night
A 50 percent chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 49. Southeast wind around 5 mph. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Monday
A 50 percent chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 60. South wind 5 to 10 mph becoming west southwest in the afternoon. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Monday Night
A 30 percent chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 42. West northwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Tuesday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 58. North northeast wind around 5 mph becoming west northwest in the afternoon.
Tuesday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 40. North northwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm.
Wednesday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 58. South southeast wind around 5 mph.
Basemap Options
Click map to change the forecast location
Loading map...

ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
2 Miles WSW Merced CA
 37.3°N 120.52°W (Elev. 171 ft)
10:57 pm PST Nov 12, 2025
11pm PST Nov 12, 2025-6pm PST Nov 19, 2025
 
Get as KML Get as XML

Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database