National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Heavy Rainfall to Bring Flooding Threat to California; Heavy Snow in the Sierra

A strong atmospheric river will bring heavy rainfall to California through the holiday week. The heaviest rainfall is expected on Wednesday in the Los Angeles Basin. Flash and urban flooding is possible. A prolonged heavy snowfall is expected in the Sierra Nevada from the atmospheric river, raising concerns for major snow‐load impacts. Travel may be difficult to impossible over the passes. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

UC MERCED WX STATION (UCMC1)

Lat: 37.36611°NLon: 120.4225°WElev: 252.0ft.

NA

57°F

14°C

Humidity 91%
Wind Speed SSW 0 MPH
Barometer NA
Dewpoint 55°F (13°C)
Visibility NA
Last update 24 Dec 04:15 AM PST
Extended Forecast for

3 Miles E Merced CA

Flood Watch December 24, 05:02am until December 26, 04:00pm
Wind Advisory December 24, 05:02am until December 25, 04:00pm
Click here for hazard details and duration
Flood Watch
Wind Advisory
  •  
    Flood Watch December 24, 05:02am until December 26, 04:00pm
    Wind Advisory December 24, 05:02am until December 25, 04:00pm

    NOW: Multiple hazards in effect

    Click HERE for Details

  • Overnight

    Low: 56 °F

    Showers and
    Breezy

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Temperature falling to around 55 by 5pm. Southeast wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

    High: 59 °F⇓

    Showers

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 10pm, then rain after 10pm. Steady temperature around 56. Breezy, with a southeast wind 15 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 35 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 56 °F

    Showers and
    Breezy

  • Christmas Day

    Christmas Day: Rain before 10am, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 10am. High near 56. Breezy, with a south southeast wind 15 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

    High: 56 °F

    Showers and
    Breezy

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Low around 50. Southeast wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 50 °F

    Showers

  • Friday

    Friday: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 1pm, then rain between 1pm and 4pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 4pm. High near 54. South southeast wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 54 °F

    Showers

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 10pm, then a chance of rain, mainly between 10pm and 4am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 43. East southeast wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 43 °F

    Showers
    Likely then
    Chance Rain

  • Saturday

    Saturday: A 20 percent chance of rain before 10am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 50. East southeast wind around 5 mph becoming west northwest in the afternoon.

    High: 50 °F

    Slight Chance
    Rain then
    Mostly Sunny

Detailed Forecast

Overnight
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Low around 56. Breezy, with a south southeast wind around 20 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Wednesday
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Temperature falling to around 55 by 5pm. Southeast wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Wednesday Night
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 10pm, then rain after 10pm. Steady temperature around 56. Breezy, with a southeast wind 15 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 35 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Christmas Day
Rain before 10am, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 10am. High near 56. Breezy, with a south southeast wind 15 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Thursday Night
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Low around 50. Southeast wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Friday
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 1pm, then rain between 1pm and 4pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 4pm. High near 54. South southeast wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Friday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 10pm, then a chance of rain, mainly between 10pm and 4am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 43. East southeast wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Saturday
A 20 percent chance of rain before 10am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 50. East southeast wind around 5 mph becoming west northwest in the afternoon.
Saturday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 39. North northwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Sunday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 48. Calm wind.
Sunday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 37. Calm wind.
Monday
Partly sunny, with a high near 48. Calm wind.
Monday Night
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 38. Calm wind.
Tuesday
Partly sunny, with a high near 50. Calm wind.
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Forecast Area
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
3 Miles E Merced CA
 37.29°N 120.4°W (Elev. 200 ft)
Last Update:
4:57 am PST Dec 24, 2025
Forecast Valid:
5am PST Dec 24, 2025-6pm PST Dec 30, 2025
 
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Additional Resources

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Chance of Precipitation