National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Atmospheric River Continues Areas of Heavy Rain and Snow for California This Weekend

An atmospheric river will continue to bring gusty winds, moderate to heavy rainfall, and potential flooding to southern California and the southern Great Basin through Sunday. Periods of heavy snow will continue as well above 7,000 feet over the Sierra Nevada mountains associated with this atmospheric river. Read More >

Current conditions at

Merced Regional Airport (KMCE)

Lat: 37.28306°NLon: 120.50778°WElev: 154.0ft.

Mist

57°F

14°C

Humidity 96%
Wind Speed N 0 MPH
Barometer 29.96 in (1014.56 mb)
Dewpoint 56°F (13°C)
Visibility 1.00 mi
Last update 14 Nov 07:07 PM PST
Extended Forecast for

Merced CA

  • Tonight

    Tonight: A 40 percent chance of rain. Cloudy, with a low around 54. Calm wind becoming northwest around 5 mph after midnight.

    Low: 54 °F

    Chance Rain

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Rain likely, mainly after 10am. Cloudy, with a high near 59. Northwest wind around 5 mph becoming west southwest in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.

    High: 59 °F

    Rain Likely

  • Saturday Night

    Saturday Night: Rain. Low around 53. Southeast wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New precipitation amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.

    Low: 53 °F

    Rain

  • Sunday

    Sunday: Rain, mainly before 4pm. High near 59. Southeast wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

    High: 59 °F

    Rain

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: Rain likely, mainly after 10pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 52. Southeast wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

    Low: 52 °F

    Rain Likely

  • Monday

    Monday: Rain likely before 10am, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 10am and 4pm, then a chance of rain and thunderstorms after 4pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 58. Southeast wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

    High: 58 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: A 30 percent chance of rain before 10pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 47. Southeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.

    Low: 47 °F

    Chance Rain
    then Mostly
    Cloudy

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: Partly sunny, with a high near 60. Northwest wind around 5 mph.

    High: 60 °F

    Partly Sunny

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 44. Calm wind.

    Low: 44 °F

    Mostly Clear

Detailed Forecast

Tonight
A 40 percent chance of rain. Cloudy, with a low around 54. Calm wind becoming northwest around 5 mph after midnight.
Saturday
Rain likely, mainly after 10am. Cloudy, with a high near 59. Northwest wind around 5 mph becoming west southwest in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Saturday Night
Rain. Low around 53. Southeast wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New precipitation amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.
Sunday
Rain, mainly before 4pm. High near 59. Southeast wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Sunday Night
Rain likely, mainly after 10pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 52. Southeast wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Monday
Rain likely before 10am, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 10am and 4pm, then a chance of rain and thunderstorms after 4pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 58. Southeast wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Monday Night
A 30 percent chance of rain before 10pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 47. Southeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Tuesday
Partly sunny, with a high near 60. Northwest wind around 5 mph.
Tuesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 44. Calm wind.
Wednesday
A 10 percent chance of rain after 4pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 60. South wind around 5 mph.
Wednesday Night
A 30 percent chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 47. East southeast wind around 5 mph.
Thursday
A 40 percent chance of rain. Partly sunny, with a high near 59. Southeast wind around 5 mph.
Thursday Night
A 30 percent chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 48. North northeast wind around 5 mph.
Friday
A 20 percent chance of rain. Partly sunny, with a high near 61. Northwest wind around 5 mph.
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Forecast Area
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
Merced CA
 37.3°N 120.49°W (Elev. 174 ft)
Last Update:
6:57 pm PST Nov 14, 2025
Forecast Valid:
7pm PST Nov 14, 2025-6pm PST Nov 21, 2025
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation