Snowy, Very Cold and Windy from the Northern Plains to Great Lakes; Critical Fire Weather in South Texas

Moderate to heavy lake effect snow is expected downwind of the Great Lakes, with the Chicago metro potentially receiving 6 to 12 inches of snowfall. A frigid airmass will bring very cold temperatures to the Central U.S. and Mississippi Valley today, migrating into the Eastern U.S. on Monday. Dry and windy weather will bring critical fire weather conditions to South Texas today. Read More >

Current conditions at

Merced Regional Airport (KMCE)

Lat: 37.28306°NLon: 120.50778°WElev: 154.0ft.

Clear

73°F

23°C

Humidity 60%
Wind Speed NW 3 MPH
Barometer 30.09 in (1018.96 mb)
Dewpoint 59°F (15°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 09 Nov 04:35 PM PST
Extended Forecast for

Merced CA

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 52. Calm wind.

    Low: 52 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Monday

    Monday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 79. Calm wind becoming northwest around 5 mph.

    High: 79 °F

    Mostly Sunny

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 52. Calm wind.

    Low: 52 °F

    Mostly Cloudy

  • Veterans Day

    Veterans Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 77. Calm wind.

    High: 77 °F

    Partly Sunny

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 55. Calm wind.

    Low: 55 °F

    Mostly Cloudy

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: A 30 percent chance of rain after 4pm.  Partly sunny, with a high near 73. Calm wind becoming south around 5 mph in the morning.

    High: 73 °F

    Partly Sunny
    then Chance
    Rain

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Rain, mainly after 10pm.  Low around 57. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

    Low: 57 °F

    Rain

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Rain before 10am, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm between 10am and 4pm, then rain likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 4pm.  High near 62. South wind 10 to 15 mph becoming west in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 25 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between three quarters and one inch possible.

    High: 62 °F

    Showers

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: Rain likely, mainly before 10pm.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 47. West wind around 5 mph becoming east after midnight.  Chance of precipitation is 70%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.

    Low: 47 °F

    Rain Likely

Detailed Forecast

Tonight
Mostly clear, with a low around 52. Calm wind.
Monday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 79. Calm wind becoming northwest around 5 mph.
Monday Night
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 52. Calm wind.
Veterans Day
Partly sunny, with a high near 77. Calm wind.
Tuesday Night
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 55. Calm wind.
Wednesday
A 30 percent chance of rain after 4pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 73. Calm wind becoming south around 5 mph in the morning.
Wednesday Night
Rain, mainly after 10pm. Low around 57. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Thursday
Rain before 10am, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm between 10am and 4pm, then rain likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 4pm. High near 62. South wind 10 to 15 mph becoming west in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between three quarters and one inch possible.
Thursday Night
Rain likely, mainly before 10pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 47. West wind around 5 mph becoming east after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Friday
A 50 percent chance of rain, mainly before 4pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 57. Northwest wind around 5 mph. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Friday Night
A 20 percent chance of rain. Partly cloudy, with a low around 43. North northwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Saturday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 58. North northwest wind around 5 mph.
Saturday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 43. East northeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm.
Sunday
A 20 percent chance of rain. Partly sunny, with a high near 60. South southeast wind around 5 mph.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
Merced CA
 37.3°N 120.49°W (Elev. 174 ft)
3:56 pm PST Nov 9, 2025
4pm PST Nov 9, 2025-6pm PST Nov 16, 2025
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database