National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Heavy Rain and Flooding Concerns in Hawaii; Severe Weather in the Plains

A storm system is expected to bring strong winds, widespread heavy rainfall, and flooding concerns to the Hawaiian Islands through the weekend. Strong to severe thunderstorms are forecast from the Southern Plains to the Mid-Missouri Valley this afternoon and evening. Large hail and strong winds are the primary threats. Read More >

Current conditions at

Merced Regional Airport (KMCE)

Lat: 37.28306°NLon: 120.50778°WElev: 154.0ft.

Clear

79°F

26°C

Humidity 41%
Wind Speed NW 5 MPH
Barometer 29.88 in (1011.85 mb)
Dewpoint 54°F (12°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Heat Index79°F (26°C)
Last update 09 Apr 03:00 PM PDT
Extended Forecast for

Merced CA

  • This Afternoon

    This Afternoon: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 5pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 82. West wind around 5 mph.

    High: 82 °F

    Chance
    T-storms

  • Tonight

    Tonight: A chance of rain and thunderstorms before 2am, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 2am and 5am, then a chance of rain after 5am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 55. West northwest wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    Low: 55 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Chance
    Showers

  • Friday

    Friday: A chance of rain before 8am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 8am and 11am, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 11am. High near 73. Light south southwest wind becoming south 5 to 10 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 73 °F

    Showers

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 11pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 11pm and 2am, then a chance of rain after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 53. West southwest wind around 5 mph becoming east southeast after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 53 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Saturday

    Saturday: A chance of rain, mainly between 11am and 2pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 68. South wind 5 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    High: 68 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Saturday Night

    Saturday Night: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 5am, then rain likely after 5am. Low around 48. Southeast wind 5 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

    Low: 48 °F

    Showers

  • Sunday

    Sunday: Rain likely, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 8am. High near 61. South wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

    High: 61 °F

    Showers

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 11pm, then a slight chance of rain after 11pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 45. South southwest wind around 5 mph becoming east in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 45 °F

    Showers
    Likely then
    Slight Chance
    Rain

  • Monday

    Monday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 66. Light and variable wind becoming northwest 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.

    High: 66 °F

    Mostly Sunny

Detailed Forecast

This Afternoon
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 5pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 82. West wind around 5 mph.
Tonight
A chance of rain and thunderstorms before 2am, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 2am and 5am, then a chance of rain after 5am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 55. West northwest wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Friday
A chance of rain before 8am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 8am and 11am, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 11am. High near 73. Light south southwest wind becoming south 5 to 10 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Friday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 11pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 11pm and 2am, then a chance of rain after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 53. West southwest wind around 5 mph becoming east southeast after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Saturday
A chance of rain, mainly between 11am and 2pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 68. South wind 5 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Saturday Night
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 5am, then rain likely after 5am. Low around 48. Southeast wind 5 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Sunday
Rain likely, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 8am. High near 61. South wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Sunday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 11pm, then a slight chance of rain after 11pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 45. South southwest wind around 5 mph becoming east in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Monday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 66. Light and variable wind becoming northwest 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.
Monday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 44. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph.
Tuesday
Sunny, with a high near 71. Calm wind becoming northwest around 5 mph in the afternoon.
Tuesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 45. Northwest wind around 5 mph.
Wednesday
Sunny, with a high near 74. Northwest wind around 5 mph.
Wednesday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 49. North northwest wind around 5 mph.
Thursday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 75. Northwest wind around 5 mph.
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Forecast Area
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
Merced CA
 37.3°N 120.49°W (Elev. 174 ft)
Last Update:
2:56 pm PDT Apr 9, 2026
Forecast Valid:
3pm PDT Apr 9, 2026-6pm PDT Apr 16, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

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High Temperature

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Chance of Precipitation