National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Tracking Atmospheric River for the West Coast; Space Weather Storming Continues

An atmospheric river will bring threats of gusty to high winds and heavy rainfall to California mainly Thursday into Saturday which may bring areas of flooding and wind damage. Heavy snow will be possible over the Sierra Nevada mountains Thursday into Friday associated with the atmospheric river. Minor to severe geomagnetic storming (space weather) is expected to continue into early Thursday. Read More >

Current conditions at

Merced Regional Airport (KMCE)

Lat: 37.28306°NLon: 120.50778°WElev: 154.0ft.

Clear

72°F

22°C

Humidity 49%
Wind Speed NNE 5 MPH
Barometer 29.97 in (1014.9 mb)
Dewpoint 52°F (11°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 12 Nov 01:00 PM PST
Extended Forecast for

Merced CA

  • This Afternoon

    This Afternoon: Mostly sunny, with a high near 74. Southeast wind around 5 mph.

    High: 74 °F

    Mostly Sunny

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Rain likely, mainly after 4am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 60. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.

    Low: 60 °F

    Chance Rain
    then Rain
    Likely

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Rain, mainly before 1pm, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 1pm. High near 67. Southeast wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.

    High: 67 °F

    Showers

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 1am, then rain, mainly between 1am and 4am. Low around 55. South southeast wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between three quarters and one inch possible.

    Low: 55 °F

    Showers

  • Friday

    Friday: A chance of rain before 10am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 10am. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 62. North wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 62 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: A 20 percent chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 50. Northwest wind around 5 mph.

    Low: 50 °F

    Slight Chance
    Rain

  • Saturday

    Saturday: A 30 percent chance of rain, mainly after 10am. Partly sunny, with a high near 59. Northwest wind around 5 mph becoming east southeast in the afternoon.

    High: 59 °F

    Chance Rain

  • Saturday Night

    Saturday Night: A 40 percent chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 50. Southeast wind around 5 mph.

    Low: 50 °F

    Chance Rain

  • Sunday

    Sunday: A 40 percent chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 61. Southeast wind around 5 mph.

    High: 61 °F

    Chance Rain

Detailed Forecast

This Afternoon
Mostly sunny, with a high near 74. Southeast wind around 5 mph.
Tonight
Rain likely, mainly after 4am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 60. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Thursday
Rain, mainly before 1pm, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 1pm. High near 67. Southeast wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.
Thursday Night
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 1am, then rain, mainly between 1am and 4am. Low around 55. South southeast wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between three quarters and one inch possible.
Friday
A chance of rain before 10am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 10am. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 62. North wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Friday Night
A 20 percent chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 50. Northwest wind around 5 mph.
Saturday
A 30 percent chance of rain, mainly after 10am. Partly sunny, with a high near 59. Northwest wind around 5 mph becoming east southeast in the afternoon.
Saturday Night
A 40 percent chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 50. Southeast wind around 5 mph.
Sunday
A 40 percent chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 61. Southeast wind around 5 mph.
Sunday Night
A 40 percent chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 50. South southeast wind around 5 mph.
Monday
A 40 percent chance of rain. Partly sunny, with a high near 59. Southeast wind around 5 mph becoming west in the afternoon.
Monday Night
A 20 percent chance of rain. Partly cloudy, with a low around 43. North northwest wind around 5 mph.
Tuesday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 57. North northwest wind around 5 mph.
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Forecast Area
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
Merced CA
 37.3°N 120.49°W (Elev. 174 ft)
Last Update:
12:57 pm PST Nov 12, 2025
Forecast Valid:
1pm PST Nov 12, 2025-6pm PST Nov 18, 2025
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation