National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Lake Effect Snow through Friday; Heavy Rain, Thunderstorms and Mountain Snow in California

Periods of moderate to heavy lake effect snow will continue through Friday downwind of Lake Erie and Ontario. Several additional inches of accumulating snow are expected. A Pacific storm will bring heavy rain and mountain snow across California, the Southwest and Intermountain West today. Isolated severe thunderstorms and scattered flash flooding is possible across parts of southern California. Read More >

Current conditions at

Merced / Castle Air Force Base (KMER)

Lat: 37.36667°NLon: 120.56667°WElev: 187.0ft.

Rain

N/A

Humidity NA
Wind Speed SSE 11 MPH
Barometer NA
Dewpoint N/A
Visibility 8.00 mi
Last update NA
Extended Forecast for

6 Miles W Merced CA

  • New Year's Day

    New Year's Day: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm, mainly before 4pm, then a chance of rain and thunderstorms after 4pm. High near 60. Southeast wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 60 °F

    Showers then
    Showers
    Likely

  • Tonight

    Tonight: A 30 percent chance of rain before 10pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 46. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph.

    Low: 46 °F

    Chance Rain
    then Mostly
    Cloudy

  • Friday

    Friday: Increasing clouds, with a high near 59. Southeast wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.

    High: 59 °F

    Increasing
    Clouds

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: Rain, mainly after 10pm. Low around 53. Southeast wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.

    Low: 53 °F

    Rain

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Rain before 10am, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 10am. High near 58. Southeast wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 58 °F

    Showers

  • Saturday Night

    Saturday Night: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Low around 52. Southeast wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 52 °F

    Showers

  • Sunday

    Sunday: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. High near 55. Southeast wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 55 °F

    Showers

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 10pm, then rain, mainly after 10pm. Low around 50. Southeast wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 50 °F

    Showers

  • Monday

    Monday: Rain likely before 10am, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 10am and 4pm, then rain likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 4pm. Cloudy, with a high near 53. Southeast wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 53 °F

    Showers
    Likely

Detailed Forecast

New Year's Day
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm, mainly before 4pm, then a chance of rain and thunderstorms after 4pm. High near 60. Southeast wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tonight
A 30 percent chance of rain before 10pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 46. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph.
Friday
Increasing clouds, with a high near 59. Southeast wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Friday Night
Rain, mainly after 10pm. Low around 53. Southeast wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Saturday
Rain before 10am, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 10am. High near 58. Southeast wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Saturday Night
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Low around 52. Southeast wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Sunday
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. High near 55. Southeast wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Sunday Night
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 10pm, then rain, mainly after 10pm. Low around 50. Southeast wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Monday
Rain likely before 10am, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 10am and 4pm, then rain likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 4pm. Cloudy, with a high near 53. Southeast wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Monday Night
Rain likely, mainly before 10pm. Cloudy, with a low around 46. Southeast wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Tuesday
A 30 percent chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 51. East southeast wind around 5 mph becoming southwest in the afternoon.
Tuesday Night
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 41. North northwest wind around 5 mph.
Wednesday
Partly sunny, with a high near 50. Northwest wind around 5 mph.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
6 Miles W Merced CA
 37.31°N 120.58°W (Elev. 148 ft)
Last Update:
7:57 am PST Jan 1, 2026
Forecast Valid:
8am PST Jan 1, 2026-6pm PST Jan 7, 2026
 
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