Critical Fire Weather in the High Plains and Midwest; Heavy Snow in the Western Mountains and Northern Plains

Gusty winds and low relative humidity will bring critical fire weather to the central/southern High Plains and portions of the Midwest. Two Pacific storms will continue to bring heavy mountain snow and gusty winds to the western U.S. through Thursday. A swath of wintry weather, including heavy snow and a wintry mix, is expected from the Northern Plains to New England. Read More >

Current conditions at

Merced / Castle Air Force Base (KMER)

Lat: 37.36667°NLon: 120.56667°WElev: 187.0ft.

Mostly Cloudy

N/A

Humidity NA
Wind Speed S 12 MPH
Barometer NA
Dewpoint N/A
Visibility 8.00 mi
Last update NA
Extended Forecast for

6 Miles W Merced CA

  • This Afternoon

    This Afternoon: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 4pm, then a chance of rain and thunderstorms after 4pm.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 48. South southeast wind around 5 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 48 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Rain, mainly after 10pm.  Low around 39. Southeast wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 90%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.

    Low: 39 °F

    Rain

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Rain, mainly before 4pm.  High near 51. Southeast wind 10 to 15 mph becoming west northwest in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 25 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 100%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

    High: 51 °F

    Rain then
    Rain Likely

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: A 20 percent chance of rain before 10pm.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 32. West northwest wind around 5 mph becoming east southeast after midnight.

    Low: 32 °F

    Slight Chance
    Rain then
    Partly Cloudy

  • Friday

    Friday: Partly sunny, with a high near 51. South southeast wind around 5 mph.

    High: 51 °F

    Partly Sunny

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 33. East southeast wind around 5 mph.

    Low: 33 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Partly sunny, with a high near 56. South southeast wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.

    High: 56 °F

    Partly Sunny

  • Saturday Night

    Saturday Night: A 20 percent chance of rain after 10pm.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 43. Southeast wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph.

    Low: 43 °F

    Slight Chance
    Rain

  • Sunday

    Sunday: A 30 percent chance of rain.  Partly sunny, with a high near 61. Southeast wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.

    High: 61 °F

    Chance Rain

Detailed Forecast

This Afternoon
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 4pm, then a chance of rain and thunderstorms after 4pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 48. South southeast wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tonight
Rain, mainly after 10pm. Low around 39. Southeast wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Thursday
Rain, mainly before 4pm. High near 51. Southeast wind 10 to 15 mph becoming west northwest in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Thursday Night
A 20 percent chance of rain before 10pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 32. West northwest wind around 5 mph becoming east southeast after midnight.
Friday
Partly sunny, with a high near 51. South southeast wind around 5 mph.
Friday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 33. East southeast wind around 5 mph.
Saturday
Partly sunny, with a high near 56. South southeast wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Saturday Night
A 20 percent chance of rain after 10pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 43. Southeast wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph.
Sunday
A 30 percent chance of rain. Partly sunny, with a high near 61. Southeast wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.
Sunday Night
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 48. Southeast wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Monday
A 50 percent chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 65. Southeast wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Monday Night
Rain and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 51. Southeast wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tuesday
Rain likely. Cloudy, with a high near 61. South wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
6 Miles W Merced CA
 37.31°N 120.58°W (Elev. 148 ft)
12:57 pm PST Feb 18, 2026
1pm PST Feb 18, 2026-6pm PST Feb 24, 2026
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database