Tracking Areas of Fire Weather, Winter Weather, and Severe Weather Thursday

Continuation of gusty winds and low relative humidity will bring additional periods of critical fire weather to the southern Plains Thursday and Friday. Another Pacific storm will continue gusty winds and heavy snow over the western mountains into Thursday. Severe thunderstorms are possible across parts of the middle Mississippi into lower Ohio Valleys Thursday afternoon into early evening. Read More >

Current conditions at

Merced / Castle Air Force Base (KMER)

Lat: 37.36667°NLon: 120.56667°WElev: 187.0ft.

Rain

N/A

Humidity NA
Wind Speed ESE 5 MPH
Barometer NA
Dewpoint N/A
Visibility 5.00 mi
Last update NA
Extended Forecast for

6 Miles W Merced CA

Freeze Watch February 19, 10:00pm until February 21, 09:00am
Click here for hazard details and duration
Freeze Watch
  • Overnight

    Overnight: Rain.  Steady temperature around 42. Southeast wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 100%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.

    Low: 42 °F

    Rain

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Rain before 10am, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 10am and 4pm, then a slight chance of rain and thunderstorms after 4pm.  High near 51. Southeast wind 10 to 15 mph becoming west northwest in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 25 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

    High: 51 °F

    Showers then
    Showers
    Likely

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: A 20 percent chance of rain before 10pm.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 32. West northwest wind around 5 mph becoming east southeast after midnight.

    Low: 32 °F

    Slight Chance
    Rain then
    Partly Cloudy

  • Friday

    Friday: Partly sunny, with a high near 51. Wind chill values as low as 30 early. South southeast wind around 5 mph.

    High: 51 °F

    Partly Sunny

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 32. East wind around 5 mph.

    Low: 32 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 57. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.

    High: 57 °F

    Mostly Sunny

  • Saturday Night

    Saturday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 41. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph.

    Low: 41 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Sunday

    Sunday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 63. Southeast wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.

    High: 63 °F

    Mostly Sunny

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 44. East southeast wind around 5 mph.

    Low: 44 °F

    Mostly Cloudy

Detailed Forecast

Overnight
Rain. Steady temperature around 42. Southeast wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Thursday
Rain before 10am, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 10am and 4pm, then a slight chance of rain and thunderstorms after 4pm. High near 51. Southeast wind 10 to 15 mph becoming west northwest in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Thursday Night
A 20 percent chance of rain before 10pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 32. West northwest wind around 5 mph becoming east southeast after midnight.
Friday
Partly sunny, with a high near 51. Wind chill values as low as 30 early. South southeast wind around 5 mph.
Friday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 32. East wind around 5 mph.
Saturday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 57. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Saturday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 41. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph.
Sunday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 63. Southeast wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Sunday Night
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 44. East southeast wind around 5 mph.
Monday
A 20 percent chance of rain after 10am. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 65. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph.
Monday Night
Rain likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 50. East southeast wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Tuesday
Rain likely. Cloudy, with a high near 62. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Tuesday Night
Rain likely. Cloudy, with a low around 52. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Wednesday
A 50 percent chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 62. East wind 5 to 10 mph becoming west in the morning. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
6 Miles W Merced CA
 37.31°N 120.58°W (Elev. 148 ft)
3:57 am PST Feb 19, 2026
4am PST Feb 19, 2026-6pm PST Feb 25, 2026
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database