National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Lake Effect Snow through Friday; Heavy Rain, Thunderstorms and Mountain Snow in California

Periods of moderate to heavy lake effect snow will continue through Friday downwind of Lake Erie and Ontario. Several additional inches of accumulating snow are expected. A Pacific storm will bring heavy rain and mountain snow across California, the Southwest and Intermountain West today. Isolated severe thunderstorms and scattered flash flooding is possible across parts of southern California. Read More >

Current conditions at

UC MERCED WX STATION (UCMC1)

Lat: 37.36611°NLon: 120.4225°WElev: 252.0ft.

NA

62°F

17°C

Humidity 77%
Wind Speed SSW 0 MPH
Barometer NA
Dewpoint 54°F (12°C)
Visibility NA
Last update 01 Jan 03:15 PM PST
Extended Forecast for

5 Miles NNE Merced CA

  • New Year's Day

    New Year's Day: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 4pm, then a slight chance of rain and thunderstorms after 4pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 60. Southeast wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 60 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Tonight

    Tonight: A 20 percent chance of rain before 10pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 46. East southeast wind 5 to 10 mph.

    Low: 46 °F

    Slight Chance
    Rain then
    Mostly Cloudy

  • Friday

    Friday: Increasing clouds, with a high near 61. Southeast wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.

    High: 61 °F

    Increasing
    Clouds

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: Rain after 10pm. Low around 53. Southeast wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

    Low: 53 °F

    Rain

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. High near 58. Southeast wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

    High: 58 °F

    Showers

  • Saturday Night

    Saturday Night: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Low around 53. Southeast wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 53 °F

    Showers

  • Sunday

    Sunday: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 10am, then rain between 10am and 1pm, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 1pm. High near 55. South southeast wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

    High: 55 °F

    Showers

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 10pm, then a chance of rain after 10pm. Low around 48. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 48 °F

    Showers then
    Chance Rain

  • Monday

    Monday: Rain likely, mainly after 10am. Cloudy, with a high near 53. Southeast wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.

    High: 53 °F

    Rain Likely

Detailed Forecast

New Year's Day
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 4pm, then a slight chance of rain and thunderstorms after 4pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 60. Southeast wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tonight
A 20 percent chance of rain before 10pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 46. East southeast wind 5 to 10 mph.
Friday
Increasing clouds, with a high near 61. Southeast wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Friday Night
Rain after 10pm. Low around 53. Southeast wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Saturday
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. High near 58. Southeast wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Saturday Night
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Low around 53. Southeast wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Sunday
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 10am, then rain between 10am and 1pm, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 1pm. High near 55. South southeast wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Sunday Night
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 10pm, then a chance of rain after 10pm. Low around 48. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Monday
Rain likely, mainly after 10am. Cloudy, with a high near 53. Southeast wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Monday Night
A 50 percent chance of rain, mainly before 4am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 43. East southeast wind around 5 mph. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Tuesday
A 20 percent chance of rain. Partly sunny, with a high near 50. East wind around 5 mph becoming west northwest in the afternoon.
Tuesday Night
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 40. North northwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm.
Wednesday
A 20 percent chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 50. North wind around 5 mph becoming west in the morning.
Wednesday Night
A 30 percent chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 40. North wind around 5 mph.
Thursday
A 20 percent chance of rain. Partly sunny, with a high near 48. North wind around 5 mph becoming west in the morning.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
5 Miles NNE Merced CA
 37.35°N 120.44°W (Elev. 200 ft)
Last Update:
2:57 pm PST Jan 1, 2026
Forecast Valid:
3pm PST Jan 1, 2026-6pm PST Jan 8, 2026
 
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