Severe Weather Threats Across the Plains; Dangerous Heat and Wildfire Concerns for the West; Watching the Tropics

Severe thunderstorms are expected across the Central Plains accompanied by damaging wind gusts and large hail. In addition, heavy rainfall may lead to instances of flash flooding from the Plains and mid-Atlantic regions. The heavy rainfall threat continues across Florida and across the northern Gulf as we monitor a tropical disturbance tracking westward. Critical fire weather for the Great Basin. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Perry Stokes Airport (KTAD)

Lat: 37.26°NLon: 104.33°WElev: 5738ft.

Fair

90°F

32°C

Humidity 16%
Wind Speed Calm
Barometer 30.02 in (1007.2 mb)
Dewpoint 38°F (3°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Heat Index86°F (30°C)
Last update 15 Jul 4:54 pm MDT
Extended Forecast for

3 Miles NNE Model CO

  • Tonight

    Tonight: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 7pm and 8pm.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 61. Northeast wind 10 to 15 mph becoming west in the evening.  Chance of precipitation is 10%.

    Low: 61 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    Mostly Clear

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon.  Increasing clouds, with a high near 87. West northwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming east southeast in the afternoon.  New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 87 °F

    Sunny then
    Chance
    T-storms

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before midnight, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between midnight and 3am, then a slight chance of showers after 3am.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 58. South wind 5 to 10 mph becoming north northeast in the evening.  Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 58 °F

    Showers
    Likely then
    Slight Chance
    T-storms

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between noon and 3pm, then showers and thunderstorms likely after 3pm.  Partly sunny, with a high near 83. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming southeast in the afternoon.  Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

    High: 83 °F

    Partly Sunny
    then T-storms
    Likely

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before midnight.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 60. South wind around 10 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 60 °F

    Showers
    Likely then
    Mostly Cloudy

  • Friday

    Friday: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 89. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph.

    High: 89 °F

    Sunny then
    Chance
    T-storms

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: A 10 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 61. West southwest wind around 10 mph.

    Low: 61 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    Partly Cloudy

  • Saturday

    Saturday: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 89. West wind around 5 mph becoming east in the afternoon.

    High: 89 °F

    Sunny then
    Chance
    T-storms

  • Saturday Night

    Saturday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 59. South southwest wind around 10 mph.

    Low: 59 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    Mostly Cloudy

Detailed Forecast

Tonight
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 7pm and 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 61. Northeast wind 10 to 15 mph becoming west in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 10%.
Wednesday
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Increasing clouds, with a high near 87. West northwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming east southeast in the afternoon. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Wednesday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before midnight, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between midnight and 3am, then a slight chance of showers after 3am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 58. South wind 5 to 10 mph becoming north northeast in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Thursday
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between noon and 3pm, then showers and thunderstorms likely after 3pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 83. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming southeast in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Thursday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 60. South wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Friday
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Mostly sunny, with a high near 89. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph.
Friday Night
A 10 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 61. West southwest wind around 10 mph.
Saturday
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Mostly sunny, with a high near 89. West wind around 5 mph becoming east in the afternoon.
Saturday Night
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 59. South southwest wind around 10 mph.
Sunday
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Sunny, with a high near 90. West wind around 5 mph becoming east in the afternoon.
Sunday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 59. South southwest wind around 10 mph.
Monday
Sunny, with a high near 91. West wind around 10 mph becoming north northwest in the afternoon.
Monday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 61. West southwest wind around 10 mph.
Tuesday
Sunny, with a high near 93. West wind around 10 mph becoming northeast in the afternoon.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
3 Miles NNE Model CO
 37.37°N 104.23°W (Elev. 5597 ft)
2:05 pm MDT Jul 15, 2025
5pm MDT Jul 15, 2025-6pm MDT Jul 22, 2025
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database