National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Fire Weather in the Central and Southern Plains; Pacific Storms Impacting the West

Gusty to high winds and low relative humidity will bring elevated to critical fire weather to the central and southern Plains into Wednesday. Two Pacific storms will impact the western U.S. into Wednesday with gusty winds, low elevation rain, and heavy mountain snow. Read More >

Current conditions at

Merced / Castle Air Force Base (KMER)

Lat: 37.36667°NLon: 120.56667°WElev: 187.0ft.

Mostly Cloudy

N/A

Humidity NA
Wind Speed SSE 17 MPH
Barometer NA
Dewpoint N/A
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update NA
Extended Forecast for

5 Miles SE Denair CA

  • Overnight

    Overnight: Rain. Low around 49. East southeast wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

    Low: 49 °F

    Rain

  • Washington's Birthday

    Washington's Birthday: Rain before 4pm, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 4pm. High near 53. Southeast wind 10 to 15 mph becoming south southwest in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between three quarters and one inch possible.

    High: 53 °F

    Showers

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: Rain and possibly a thunderstorm before 4am, then rain likely. Low around 42. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming south southeast after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 42 °F

    Showers then
    Rain Likely

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: Rain, mainly before 4pm, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 4pm. High near 51. South southeast wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

    High: 51 °F

    Showers

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 10pm, then rain likely, mainly between 10pm and 4am. Low around 37. South wind 5 to 10 mph becoming west after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 37 °F

    Showers

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: A 30 percent chance of rain, mainly after 10am. Partly sunny, with a high near 50. South southeast wind around 5 mph.

    High: 50 °F

    Chance Rain

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: A 50 percent chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 39. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.

    Low: 39 °F

    Chance Rain

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Rain likely, mainly before 4pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 49. Southeast wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.

    High: 49 °F

    Rain Likely

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: A 40 percent chance of rain, mainly before 10pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 36. West northwest wind around 5 mph becoming east southeast in the evening.

    Low: 36 °F

    Chance Rain

Detailed Forecast

Overnight
Rain. Low around 49. East southeast wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Washington's Birthday
Rain before 4pm, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 4pm. High near 53. Southeast wind 10 to 15 mph becoming south southwest in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between three quarters and one inch possible.
Monday Night
Rain and possibly a thunderstorm before 4am, then rain likely. Low around 42. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming south southeast after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tuesday
Rain, mainly before 4pm, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 4pm. High near 51. South southeast wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Tuesday Night
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 10pm, then rain likely, mainly between 10pm and 4am. Low around 37. South wind 5 to 10 mph becoming west after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Wednesday
A 30 percent chance of rain, mainly after 10am. Partly sunny, with a high near 50. South southeast wind around 5 mph.
Wednesday Night
A 50 percent chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 39. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Thursday
Rain likely, mainly before 4pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 49. Southeast wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Thursday Night
A 40 percent chance of rain, mainly before 10pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 36. West northwest wind around 5 mph becoming east southeast in the evening.
Friday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 51. South southeast wind around 5 mph.
Friday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 36. East southeast wind around 5 mph.
Saturday
Partly sunny, with a high near 56. South southeast wind 5 to 10 mph.
Saturday Night
A 20 percent chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 41. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph.
Sunday
A 30 percent chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 60. South southeast wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
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Forecast Area
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
5 Miles SE Denair CA
 37.47°N 120.73°W (Elev. 157 ft)
Last Update:
11:57 pm PST Feb 15, 2026
Forecast Valid:
12am PST Feb 16, 2026-6pm PST Feb 22, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

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Chance of Precipitation