National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Heavy Rainfall and Flooding in the Mid-Atlantic; Heat and Wildfire Concerns in the West

Slow moving showers and thunderstorms may result in flash flooding for portions of the mid-Atlantic region through tonight. Meanwhile, excessive heat will continue to build across the West through Tuesday. Heat Advisories and Extreme Heat Warnings are in effect. Fire Weather concerns continue for the West with dry and breezy conditions. Watching the tropics across the Southeast. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Pagosa Springs, Wolf Creek Pass (KCPW)

Lat: 37.45°NLon: 106.8°WElev: 11759ft.

Fair

45°F

7°C

Humidity 71%
Wind Speed W 12 mph
Barometer 30.67 in
Dewpoint 36°F (2°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Wind Chill39°F (4°C)
Last update 15 Jul 4:15 am MDT
Extended Forecast for

12 Miles SSE South Fork CO

  • Today

    Today: A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 2pm. Increasing clouds, with a high near 59. West southwest wind 5 to 15 mph becoming north northwest in the afternoon. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 59 °F

    Sunny then
    Chance
    T-storms

  • Tonight

    Tonight: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 9pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 46. West southwest wind 5 to 10 mph. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 46 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    Partly Cloudy

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Showers and thunderstorms likely between noon and 3pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 3pm. Increasing clouds, with a high near 61. West northwest wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 61 °F

    Mostly Sunny
    then T-storms
    Likely

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 44. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming south southwest after midnight. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 44 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Mostly Cloudy

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Showers and thunderstorms, mainly between noon and 3pm, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 3pm. High near 56. South southwest wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 56 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    T-storms

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before midnight, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between midnight and 3am, then a chance of showers after 3am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 44. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 44 °F

    Showers
    Likely then
    Chance
    Showers

  • Friday

    Friday: Showers and thunderstorms, mainly after noon. High near 57. West wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    High: 57 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    T-storms

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 44. Southwest wind around 10 mph.

    Low: 44 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Partly Cloudy

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Showers and thunderstorms likely after noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 58. West southwest wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

    High: 58 °F

    Mostly Sunny
    then T-storms
    Likely

Detailed Forecast

Today
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 2pm. Increasing clouds, with a high near 59. West southwest wind 5 to 15 mph becoming north northwest in the afternoon. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tonight
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 9pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 46. West southwest wind 5 to 10 mph. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Wednesday
Showers and thunderstorms likely between noon and 3pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 3pm. Increasing clouds, with a high near 61. West northwest wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Wednesday Night
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 44. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming south southwest after midnight. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Thursday
Showers and thunderstorms, mainly between noon and 3pm, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 3pm. High near 56. South southwest wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Thursday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before midnight, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between midnight and 3am, then a chance of showers after 3am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 44. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Friday
Showers and thunderstorms, mainly after noon. High near 57. West wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Friday Night
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 44. Southwest wind around 10 mph.
Saturday
Showers and thunderstorms likely after noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 58. West southwest wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Saturday Night
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 43. Southwest wind around 10 mph.
Sunday
Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly sunny, with a high near 58. West southwest wind around 10 mph.
Sunday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 45. Southwest wind around 10 mph.
Monday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 59. West southwest wind around 10 mph.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
12 Miles SSE South Fork CO
 37.49°N 106.58°W (Elev. 11886 ft)
Last Update:
2:58 am MDT Jul 15, 2025
Forecast Valid:
4am MDT Jul 15, 2025-6pm MDT Jul 21, 2025
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

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Chance of Precipitation