National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Severe Weather Threats Across the Plains; Dangerous Heat and Wildfire Concerns for the West; Watching the Tropics

Severe thunderstorms are expected across the Central Plains accompanied by damaging wind gusts and large hail. In addition, heavy rainfall may lead to instances of flash flooding from the Plains and mid-Atlantic regions. The heavy rainfall threat continues across Florida and across the northern Gulf as we monitor a tropical disturbance tracking westward. Critical fire weather for the Great Basin. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Pagosa Springs, Wolf Creek Pass (KCPW)

Lat: 37.45°NLon: 106.8°WElev: 11759ft.

Fair

57°F

14°C

Humidity 41%
Wind Speed NW 3 mph
Barometer 30.67 in
Dewpoint 34°F (1°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 15 Jul 10:35 am MDT
Extended Forecast for

18 Miles WSW Masonic Park CO

  • Today

    Today: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 1pm. Increasing clouds, with a high near 61. West wind 5 to 10 mph. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 61 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    Chance
    T-storms

  • Tonight

    Tonight: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 9pm, then a slight chance of showers between 9pm and 10pm. Areas of smoke after 5am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 44. South southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming northwest in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 20%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 44 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    Areas Smoke

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Showers and thunderstorms likely, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 3pm. Areas of smoke before 7am. High near 59. West northwest wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 59 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    T-storms

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 39. North wind 5 to 10 mph. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 39 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Mostly Cloudy

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Showers and thunderstorms, mainly between noon and 3pm, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 3pm. High near 55. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming south southwest in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 55 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    T-storms

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before midnight, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between midnight and 3am, then a chance of showers after 3am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 39. West northwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming south after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 39 °F

    Showers
    Likely then
    Chance
    Showers

  • Friday

    Friday: Showers and thunderstorms, mainly after noon. High near 55. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming southwest in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    High: 55 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    T-storms

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 40. West northwest wind 5 to 10 mph.

    Low: 40 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Partly Cloudy

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 55. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

    High: 55 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    T-storms
    Likely

Detailed Forecast

Today
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 1pm. Increasing clouds, with a high near 61. West wind 5 to 10 mph. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tonight
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 9pm, then a slight chance of showers between 9pm and 10pm. Areas of smoke after 5am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 44. South southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming northwest in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 20%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Wednesday
Showers and thunderstorms likely, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 3pm. Areas of smoke before 7am. High near 59. West northwest wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Wednesday Night
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 39. North wind 5 to 10 mph. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Thursday
Showers and thunderstorms, mainly between noon and 3pm, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 3pm. High near 55. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming south southwest in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Thursday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before midnight, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between midnight and 3am, then a chance of showers after 3am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 39. West northwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming south after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Friday
Showers and thunderstorms, mainly after noon. High near 55. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming southwest in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Friday Night
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 40. West northwest wind 5 to 10 mph.
Saturday
Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 55. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Saturday Night
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 40. West southwest wind around 10 mph becoming northwest after midnight.
Sunday
Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly sunny, with a high near 55. Southwest wind around 10 mph.
Sunday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 39. West wind around 10 mph.
Monday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 56. West southwest wind around 10 mph.
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Forecast Area
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
18 Miles WSW Masonic Park CO
 37.58°N 106.99°W (Elev. 12126 ft)
Last Update:
9:48 am MDT Jul 15, 2025
Forecast Valid:
10am MDT Jul 15, 2025-6pm MDT Jul 21, 2025
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation