National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Severe Weather Threats Across the Plains; Dangerous Heat and Wildfire Concerns for the West; Watching the Tropics

Severe thunderstorms are expected across the Central Plains accompanied by damaging wind gusts and large hail. In addition, heavy rainfall may lead to instances of flash flooding from the Plains and mid-Atlantic regions. The heavy rainfall threat continues across Florida and across the northern Gulf as we monitor a tropical disturbance tracking westward. Critical fire weather for the Great Basin. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Pagosa Springs, Wolf Creek Pass (KCPW)

Lat: 37.45°NLon: 106.8°WElev: 11759ft.

Thunderstorm in Vicinity

59°F

15°C

Humidity 39%
Wind Speed SW 6 mph
Barometer 30.64 in
Dewpoint 34°F (1°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 15 Jul 2:35 pm MDT
Extended Forecast for

10 Miles SW Creede CO

  • This Afternoon

    This Afternoon: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 77. West southwest wind around 10 mph. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 77 °F

    Chance
    T-storms

  • Tonight

    Tonight: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 9pm, then a slight chance of showers between 9pm and 10pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 44. West southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light and variable after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 20%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 44 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    Partly Cloudy

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Showers and thunderstorms likely between noon and 3pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 3pm. Sunny through mid morning, then becoming mostly cloudy, with a high near 78. Light west wind becoming southwest 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 78 °F

    Mostly Sunny
    then T-storms
    Likely

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 9pm, then a slight chance of showers between 9pm and midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 39. North northwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light west northwest after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 20%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 39 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    Mostly Cloudy

  • Thursday

    Thursday: A slight chance of showers before 9am, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 9am and noon, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after noon. High near 73. Light and variable wind becoming west 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 73 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    T-storms

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 40. West wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 40 °F

    Showers
    Likely then
    Mostly Cloudy

  • Friday

    Friday: Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 73. Light west wind becoming west southwest 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

    High: 73 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    T-storms
    Likely

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 41. West wind around 5 mph.

    Low: 41 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Partly Cloudy

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Showers and thunderstorms likely after noon. Mostly sunny, with a high near 73. Light west wind becoming west southwest 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    High: 73 °F

    Mostly Sunny
    then T-storms
    Likely

Detailed Forecast

This Afternoon
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 77. West southwest wind around 10 mph. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tonight
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 9pm, then a slight chance of showers between 9pm and 10pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 44. West southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light and variable after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 20%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Wednesday
Showers and thunderstorms likely between noon and 3pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 3pm. Sunny through mid morning, then becoming mostly cloudy, with a high near 78. Light west wind becoming southwest 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Wednesday Night
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 9pm, then a slight chance of showers between 9pm and midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 39. North northwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light west northwest after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 20%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Thursday
A slight chance of showers before 9am, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 9am and noon, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after noon. High near 73. Light and variable wind becoming west 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Thursday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 40. West wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Friday
Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 73. Light west wind becoming west southwest 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Friday Night
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 41. West wind around 5 mph.
Saturday
Showers and thunderstorms likely after noon. Mostly sunny, with a high near 73. Light west wind becoming west southwest 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Saturday Night
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 39. West wind 5 to 10 mph.
Sunday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 73. Light west wind increasing to 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.
Sunday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 39. West wind 5 to 10 mph.
Monday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 76. West wind 5 to 10 mph.
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Forecast Area
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
10 Miles SW Creede CO
 37.75°N 107.06°W (Elev. 9600 ft)
Last Update:
2:05 pm MDT Jul 15, 2025
Forecast Valid:
2pm MDT Jul 15, 2025-6pm MDT Jul 21, 2025
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

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Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation