Severe Weather Threats Across the Plains; Dangerous Heat and Wildfire Concerns for the West; Watching the Tropics

Severe thunderstorms are expected across the Central Plains accompanied by damaging wind gusts and large hail. In addition, heavy rainfall may lead to instances of flash flooding from the Plains and mid-Atlantic regions. The heavy rainfall threat continues across Florida and across the northern Gulf as we monitor a tropical disturbance tracking westward. Critical fire weather for the Great Basin. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Pagosa Springs, Wolf Creek Pass (KCPW)

Lat: 37.45°NLon: 106.8°WElev: 11759ft.

Fair

48°F

9°C

Humidity 54%
Wind Speed W 9 mph
Barometer 30.67 in
Dewpoint 32°F (0°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Wind Chill44°F (7°C)
Last update 15 Jul 6:15 am MDT
Extended Forecast for

11 Miles WSW Creede CO

  • Today

    Today: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly between 2pm and 5pm.  Increasing clouds, with a high near 76. Light and variable wind becoming west northwest 5 to 10 mph in the morning.  New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 76 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    Chance
    T-storms

  • Tonight

    Tonight: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 9pm, then a slight chance of showers between 9pm and 10pm.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 43. West southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light and variable  in the evening.  Chance of precipitation is 20%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 43 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    Partly Cloudy

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Showers and thunderstorms likely between noon and 3pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 3pm.  Areas of smoke before 7am. Sunny through mid morning, then becoming mostly cloudy, with a high near 77. Calm wind becoming west southwest around 5 mph in the afternoon.  Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 77 °F

    Areas Smoke
    then T-storms
    Likely

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 9pm, then a slight chance of showers between 9pm and midnight.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 41. West northwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm  in the evening.  Chance of precipitation is 20%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 41 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    Mostly Cloudy

  • Thursday

    Thursday: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 9am and noon, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after noon.  High near 76. Calm wind becoming west around 5 mph in the afternoon.  Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 76 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    T-storms

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before midnight, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between midnight and 3am, then a slight chance of showers after 3am.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 41. West wind around 5 mph becoming calm  in the evening.  Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 41 °F

    Showers
    Likely then
    Slight Chance
    T-storms

  • Friday

    Friday: Showers and thunderstorms, mainly after noon.  High near 74. Calm wind becoming west southwest around 5 mph in the morning.  Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    High: 74 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    T-storms

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 42. West northwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm  after midnight.

    Low: 42 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Partly Cloudy

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Showers and thunderstorms likely after noon.  Partly sunny, with a high near 75. Calm wind becoming west southwest around 5 mph in the afternoon.  Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    High: 75 °F

    Mostly Sunny
    then T-storms
    Likely

Detailed Forecast

Today
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly between 2pm and 5pm. Increasing clouds, with a high near 76. Light and variable wind becoming west northwest 5 to 10 mph in the morning. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tonight
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 9pm, then a slight chance of showers between 9pm and 10pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 43. West southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light and variable in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 20%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Wednesday
Showers and thunderstorms likely between noon and 3pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 3pm. Areas of smoke before 7am. Sunny through mid morning, then becoming mostly cloudy, with a high near 77. Calm wind becoming west southwest around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Wednesday Night
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 9pm, then a slight chance of showers between 9pm and midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 41. West northwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 20%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Thursday
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 9am and noon, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after noon. High near 76. Calm wind becoming west around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Thursday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before midnight, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between midnight and 3am, then a slight chance of showers after 3am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 41. West wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Friday
Showers and thunderstorms, mainly after noon. High near 74. Calm wind becoming west southwest around 5 mph in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Friday Night
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 42. West northwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm after midnight.
Saturday
Showers and thunderstorms likely after noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 75. Calm wind becoming west southwest around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Saturday Night
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 42. West wind around 5 mph becoming calm after midnight.
Sunday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 74. Light west southwest wind becoming west 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.
Sunday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 40. West wind around 5 mph becoming calm after midnight.
Monday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 77. Light west wind increasing to 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
11 Miles WSW Creede CO
 37.79°N 107.12°W (Elev. 9272 ft)
5:06 am MDT Jul 15, 2025
6am MDT Jul 15, 2025-6pm MDT Jul 21, 2025
 
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Additional Resources

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Hourly Weather Forecast

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