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Flooding Risks from Tropical Moisture Across the Southeast and Southwest

Tropical moisture from Isaias and Rachel will impact portions of the Southeast and Southwest this weekend. Flash flooding, strong winds and even a threat for severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible. Meanwhile, strong winds and dry fuels are raising fire weather concerns across the central Great Basin and western High Plains. Across the northern Rockies, first winter storm of the season. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Rachel (CMP19)

Lat: 37.64333°NLon: 115.73917°WElev: 4850.0ft.

NA

73°F

23°C

Humidity 12%
Wind Speed SSW 20 MPH
Barometer NA
Dewpoint 19°F (-7°C)
Visibility NA
Last update 10 Oct 03:40 PM PDT
Extended Forecast for

17 Miles NNE Tonopah Range #74 Nellis AFB NV

Flood Watch October 10, 05:00pm until October 12, 05:00am
Wind Advisory until October 12, 05:00am
Click here for hazard details and duration
Flood Watch
Wind Advisory
  •  
    Wind Advisory until October 12, 05:00am

    NOW until 5:00am Mon

    Wind Advisory

  • This Afternoon

    High: 59 °F

    Mostly Cloudy
    and Breezy

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Showers, mainly after 4am. Low around 46. Windy, with a south wind 24 to 32 mph, with gusts as high as 40 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    Low: 46 °F

    Windy. Slight
    Chance
    Showers then
    Showers

  • Sunday

    Sunday: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Temperature falling to around 45 by 5pm. South southeast wind 10 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%.

    High: 53 °F⇓

    Showers

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 7pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 7pm and 9pm. Cloudy, then gradually becoming partly cloudy, with a low around 41. Windy, with a south wind 23 to 33 mph, with gusts as high as 47 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    Low: 41 °F

    Windy.
    Showers
    Likely then
    Partly Cloudy

  • Columbus Day

    Columbus Day: Rain likely, possibly mixed with snow showers, mainly after 5pm. Some thunder is also possible. Partly sunny, with a high near 43. Breezy, with a south wind 15 to 24 mph, with gusts as high as 32 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Little or no snow accumulation expected.

    High: 43 °F

    Rain/Snow
    Likely and
    Breezy

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: Rain and snow showers likely, becoming all snow after 7pm. Some thunder is also possible. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 35. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible.

    Low: 35 °F

    Rain/Snow
    Likely then
    Snow Showers
    Likely

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: A 50 percent chance of snow showers. Some thunder is also possible. Partly sunny, with a high near 41. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible.

    High: 41 °F

    Chance Snow
    Showers

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 34.

    Low: 34 °F

    Mostly Clear

Detailed Forecast

This Afternoon
Mostly cloudy, with a steady temperature around 59. Breezy, with a south southwest wind around 23 mph, with gusts as high as 33 mph.
Tonight
Showers, mainly after 4am. Low around 46. Windy, with a south wind 24 to 32 mph, with gusts as high as 40 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Sunday
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Temperature falling to around 45 by 5pm. South southeast wind 10 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%.
Sunday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 7pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 7pm and 9pm. Cloudy, then gradually becoming partly cloudy, with a low around 41. Windy, with a south wind 23 to 33 mph, with gusts as high as 47 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Columbus Day
Rain likely, possibly mixed with snow showers, mainly after 5pm. Some thunder is also possible. Partly sunny, with a high near 43. Breezy, with a south wind 15 to 24 mph, with gusts as high as 32 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Little or no snow accumulation expected.
Monday Night
Rain and snow showers likely, becoming all snow after 7pm. Some thunder is also possible. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 35. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible.
Tuesday
A 50 percent chance of snow showers. Some thunder is also possible. Partly sunny, with a high near 41. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible.
Tuesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 34.
Wednesday
Sunny, with a high near 48.
Wednesday Night
Clear, with a low around 37.
Thursday
Sunny, with a high near 51.
Thursday Night
Clear, with a low around 38.
Friday
Sunny, with a high near 54.
Friday Night
Clear, with a low around 40.
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 56.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
17 Miles NNE Tonopah Range #74 Nellis AFB NV
 37.86°N 116.13°W (Elev. 8041 ft)
Last Update:
1:03 pm PDT Oct 10, 2026
Forecast Valid:
4pm PDT Oct 10, 2026-6pm PDT Oct 17, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

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High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation