Severe Weather Threats Across the Plains; Dangerous Heat and Wildfire Concerns for the West; Watching the Tropics

Severe thunderstorms are expected across the Central Plains accompanied by damaging wind gusts and large hail. In addition, heavy rainfall may lead to instances of flash flooding from the Plains and mid-Atlantic regions. The heavy rainfall threat continues across Florida and across the northern Gulf as we monitor a tropical disturbance tracking westward. Critical fire weather for the Great Basin. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Pagosa Springs, Wolf Creek Pass (KCPW)

Lat: 37.45°NLon: 106.8°WElev: 11759ft.

Overcast

52°F

11°C

Humidity 47%
Wind Speed Calm
Barometer 30.66 in
Dewpoint 32°F (0°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 15 Jul 5:35 pm MDT
Extended Forecast for

5 Miles WNW Creede CO

  • This Afternoon

    This Afternoon: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms.  Partly sunny, with a high near 67. West northwest wind around 10 mph.  New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 67 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms

  • Tonight

    Tonight: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 9pm, then a slight chance of showers between 9pm and 10pm.  Areas of smoke after 5am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 45. West northwest wind 5 to 10 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 20%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 45 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    Areas Smoke

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Showers and thunderstorms likely between noon and 3pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 3pm.  Areas of smoke before 7am. Increasing clouds, with a high near 62. West wind 5 to 10 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 62 °F

    Areas Smoke
    then T-storms
    Likely

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 9pm, then a slight chance of showers between 9pm and midnight.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 45. North northwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming west southwest in the evening.  Chance of precipitation is 20%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 45 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    Mostly Cloudy

  • Thursday

    Thursday: A slight chance of showers before 9am, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 9am and noon, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after noon.  High near 60. West northwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming southwest in the morning.  Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 60 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    T-storms

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before midnight.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 44. West southwest wind 5 to 10 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 44 °F

    Showers
    Likely then
    Mostly Cloudy

  • Friday

    Friday: Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after noon.  Partly sunny, with a high near 61. West wind 5 to 10 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 70%.

    High: 61 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    T-storms
    Likely

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 45. West wind 5 to 10 mph.

    Low: 45 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Partly Cloudy

  • Saturday

    Saturday: A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 61. West southwest wind 5 to 10 mph.

    High: 61 °F

    Mostly Sunny
    then Chance
    T-storms

Detailed Forecast

This Afternoon
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 67. West northwest wind around 10 mph. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tonight
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 9pm, then a slight chance of showers between 9pm and 10pm. Areas of smoke after 5am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 45. West northwest wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Wednesday
Showers and thunderstorms likely between noon and 3pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 3pm. Areas of smoke before 7am. Increasing clouds, with a high near 62. West wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Wednesday Night
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 9pm, then a slight chance of showers between 9pm and midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 45. North northwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming west southwest in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 20%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Thursday
A slight chance of showers before 9am, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 9am and noon, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after noon. High near 60. West northwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming southwest in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Thursday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 44. West southwest wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Friday
Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 61. West wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Friday Night
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 45. West wind 5 to 10 mph.
Saturday
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Mostly sunny, with a high near 61. West southwest wind 5 to 10 mph.
Saturday Night
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 44. West southwest wind 5 to 10 mph.
Sunday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 61. West wind 5 to 10 mph.
Sunday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 44. West wind around 10 mph.
Monday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 63. West wind 10 to 15 mph.
Monday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 45. West southwest wind around 10 mph.
Tuesday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 65. West wind around 10 mph.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
5 Miles WNW Creede CO
 37.87°N 107.02°W (Elev. 11555 ft)
5:44 pm MDT Jul 15, 2025
5pm MDT Jul 15, 2025-6pm MDT Jul 22, 2025
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

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Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database