National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Excessive Rainfall and Potential Tropical Cyclone in the South; Severe Thunderstorms in the Midwest

Excessive rainfall may produce locally considerable flash flooding over parts of the northwestern Gulf Coast, lower Mississippi River Valley, and Deep South through Thursday. Potential Tropical Cyclone One is forecast to become a tropical storm (Arthur) as it moves along or just off the northwestern Gulf coast through Wednesday. An outbreak of severe weather is forecast in the Midwest Wednesday. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Mount Carmel, Mount Carmel Municipal Airport (KAJG)

Lat: 38.61°NLon: 87.73°WElev: 423ft.

Fair

68°F

20°C

Humidity 87%
Wind Speed NA
Barometer 29.74 in
Dewpoint 64°F (18°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 16 Jun 8:15 pm CDT
Extended Forecast for

Keensburg IL

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 59. South southwest wind 5 to 7 mph becoming calm in the evening.

    Low: 59 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 87. Breezy, with a light south southeast wind becoming south southwest 21 to 26 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 40 mph.

    High: 87 °F

    Mostly Sunny
    then Mostly
    Sunny and
    Breezy

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Low around 71. Breezy, with a west southwest wind 20 to 25 mph decreasing to 14 to 19 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 38 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    Low: 71 °F

    Showers and
    Breezy

  • Thursday

    Thursday: A slight chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 1pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 84. West southwest wind 9 to 11 mph becoming northwest in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 18 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    High: 84 °F

    Slight Chance
    Showers then
    Slight Chance
    T-storms

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: A 30 percent chance of showers before 1am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 61. Northwest wind around 6 mph becoming calm in the evening.

    Low: 61 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Juneteenth

    Juneteenth: Sunny, with a high near 82. Calm wind becoming north northwest 5 to 7 mph in the afternoon.

    High: 82 °F

    Sunny

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 61. North northwest wind around 6 mph becoming calm in the evening.

    Low: 61 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Sunny, with a high near 85. Calm wind becoming south southwest around 5 mph in the afternoon.

    High: 85 °F

    Sunny

  • Saturday Night

    Saturday Night: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 66. Light south southeast wind.

    Low: 66 °F

    Partly Cloudy
    then Slight
    Chance
    T-storms

Detailed Forecast

Tonight
Mostly clear, with a low around 59. South southwest wind 5 to 7 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Wednesday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 87. Breezy, with a light south southeast wind becoming south southwest 21 to 26 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 40 mph.
Wednesday Night
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Low around 71. Breezy, with a west southwest wind 20 to 25 mph decreasing to 14 to 19 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 38 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Thursday
A slight chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 1pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 84. West southwest wind 9 to 11 mph becoming northwest in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 18 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Thursday Night
A 30 percent chance of showers before 1am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 61. Northwest wind around 6 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Juneteenth
Sunny, with a high near 82. Calm wind becoming north northwest 5 to 7 mph in the afternoon.
Friday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 61. North northwest wind around 6 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 85. Calm wind becoming south southwest around 5 mph in the afternoon.
Saturday Night
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 66. Light south southeast wind.
Sunday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 1pm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Partly sunny, with a high near 84. South wind 5 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph.
Sunday Night
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 68. Southwest wind around 11 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Monday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 83. South southwest wind around 11 mph becoming north northeast in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 18 mph.
Monday Night
A chance of showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 65. North northeast wind 5 to 9 mph.
Tuesday
A slight chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 83. North northeast wind around 7 mph.
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Forecast Area
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
Keensburg IL
 38.36°N 87.86°W
Last Update:
2:28 pm CDT Jun 16, 2026
Forecast Valid:
8pm CDT Jun 16, 2026-6pm CDT Jun 23, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation