Excessive Rainfall and Potential Tropical Cyclone in the South; Severe Thunderstorms in the Midwest

Excessive rainfall may produce locally considerable flash flooding over parts of the northwestern Gulf Coast, lower Mississippi River Valley, and Deep South through Thursday. Potential Tropical Cyclone One is forecast to become a tropical storm (Arthur) as it moves along or just off the northwestern Gulf coast through Wednesday. An outbreak of severe weather is forecast in the Midwest Wednesday. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Mount Carmel, Mount Carmel Municipal Airport (KAJG)

Lat: 38.61°NLon: 87.73°WElev: 423ft.

Fair

79°F

26°C

Humidity 37%
Wind Speed SW 12 G 16 mph
Barometer 29.84 in
Dewpoint 51°F (11°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Heat Index79°F (26°C)
Last update 16 Jun 11:55 am CDT
Extended Forecast for

3 Miles E Patoka IN

  • This Afternoon

    This Afternoon: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm.  Increasing clouds, with a steady temperature around 79. West wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph.

    High: 79 °F

    Chance
    T-storms

  • Tonight

    Tonight: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 7pm and 10pm.  Mostly clear, with a low around 59. Southwest wind 5 to 8 mph becoming calm  in the evening.  Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    Low: 59 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    Mostly Clear

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 87. Breezy, with a light south southeast wind becoming south southwest 17 to 22 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 34 mph.

    High: 87 °F

    Mostly Sunny
    then Mostly
    Sunny and
    Breezy

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm.  Low around 72. Breezy, with a west southwest wind 15 to 22 mph, with gusts as high as 32 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 90%.

    Low: 72 °F

    Showers and
    Breezy

  • Thursday

    Thursday: A slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1pm.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 83. West northwest wind 9 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    High: 83 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: A 30 percent chance of showers before 1am.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 62. Northwest wind around 6 mph becoming calm  in the evening.

    Low: 62 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Juneteenth

    Juneteenth: Sunny, with a high near 81. Calm wind becoming north northwest 5 to 8 mph in the afternoon.

    High: 81 °F

    Sunny

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 61. North northwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm  in the evening.

    Low: 61 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Sunny, with a high near 84. Light north northwest wind.

    High: 84 °F

    Sunny

Detailed Forecast

This Afternoon
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Increasing clouds, with a steady temperature around 79. West wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph.
Tonight
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 7pm and 10pm. Mostly clear, with a low around 59. Southwest wind 5 to 8 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Wednesday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 87. Breezy, with a light south southeast wind becoming south southwest 17 to 22 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 34 mph.
Wednesday Night
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Low around 72. Breezy, with a west southwest wind 15 to 22 mph, with gusts as high as 32 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
Thursday
A slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 83. West northwest wind 9 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Thursday Night
A 30 percent chance of showers before 1am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 62. Northwest wind around 6 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Juneteenth
Sunny, with a high near 81. Calm wind becoming north northwest 5 to 8 mph in the afternoon.
Friday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 61. North northwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 84. Light north northwest wind.
Saturday Night
A slight chance of showers after 1am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 65. Light south southeast wind.
Sunday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 85. South wind 6 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Sunday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 69. South southwest wind 7 to 9 mph.
Monday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 85. Southwest wind 7 to 10 mph.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
3 Miles E Patoka IN
 38.41°N 87.55°W
9:01 am CDT Jun 16, 2026
12pm CDT Jun 16, 2026-6pm CDT Jun 22, 2026
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database