National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Excessive Rainfall and Potential Tropical Cyclone in the South; Severe Thunderstorms in the Midwest

Excessive rainfall may produce locally considerable flash flooding over parts of the northwestern Gulf Coast, lower Mississippi River Valley, and Deep South through Thursday. Potential Tropical Cyclone One is forecast to become a tropical storm (Arthur) as it moves along or just off the northwestern Gulf coast through Wednesday. An outbreak of severe weather is forecast in the Midwest Wednesday. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Mount Carmel, Mount Carmel Municipal Airport (KAJG)

Lat: 38.61°NLon: 87.73°WElev: 423ft.

Partly Cloudy

71°F

22°C

Humidity 79%
Wind Speed SE 8 mph
Barometer 29.77 in
Dewpoint 64°F (18°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 16 Jun 4:35 pm CDT
Extended Forecast for

6 Miles NNW Oakland City IN

  • This Afternoon

    This Afternoon: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 81. Southwest wind around 11 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph.

    High: 81 °F

    Chance
    T-storms

  • Tonight

    Tonight: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm, then a slight chance of showers between 8pm and 11pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 59. South southwest wind 5 to 8 mph becoming calm after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    Low: 59 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    Mostly Clear

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 86. Breezy, with a light south wind becoming south southwest 16 to 21 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 33 mph.

    High: 86 °F

    Mostly Sunny
    then Mostly
    Sunny and
    Breezy

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Low around 71. Breezy, with a west southwest wind 17 to 24 mph, with gusts as high as 37 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.

    Low: 71 °F

    Showers and
    Breezy

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 8am, then a slight chance of showers between 8am and 2pm, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. High near 82. West southwest wind around 11 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    High: 82 °F

    Showers then
    Slight Chance
    T-storms

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm, then a chance of showers between 8pm and 2am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 62. Northwest wind around 6 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Low: 62 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Juneteenth

    Juneteenth: Mostly sunny, with a high near 80. Calm wind becoming north northwest 5 to 7 mph in the afternoon.

    High: 80 °F

    Mostly Sunny

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 61. North northwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.

    Low: 61 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Sunny, with a high near 84. Light west southwest wind.

    High: 84 °F

    Sunny

Detailed Forecast

This Afternoon
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 81. Southwest wind around 11 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph.
Tonight
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm, then a slight chance of showers between 8pm and 11pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 59. South southwest wind 5 to 8 mph becoming calm after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Wednesday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 86. Breezy, with a light south wind becoming south southwest 16 to 21 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 33 mph.
Wednesday Night
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Low around 71. Breezy, with a west southwest wind 17 to 24 mph, with gusts as high as 37 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
Thursday
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 8am, then a slight chance of showers between 8am and 2pm, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. High near 82. West southwest wind around 11 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Thursday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm, then a chance of showers between 8pm and 2am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 62. Northwest wind around 6 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Juneteenth
Mostly sunny, with a high near 80. Calm wind becoming north northwest 5 to 7 mph in the afternoon.
Friday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 61. North northwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 84. Light west southwest wind.
Saturday Night
A slight chance of showers after 2am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 66. Light south southeast wind.
Sunday
Showers and thunderstorms likely. Partly sunny, with a high near 83. South wind 5 to 10 mph.
Sunday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 68. Southwest wind around 10 mph.
Monday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 82. North northeast wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph.
Monday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 65. North northeast wind 5 to 8 mph.
Tuesday
A slight chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 82. North northeast wind around 6 mph.
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Forecast Area
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
6 Miles NNW Oakland City IN
 38.43°N 87.38°W
Last Update:
3:28 pm EDT Jun 16, 2026
Forecast Valid:
5pm EDT Jun 16, 2026-6pm EDT Jun 23, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

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Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

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High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation