National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Excessive Rainfall Potential for the Southeast; Heat Expands for Center of the Nation; Critical Fire Weather for Pacific Northwest

Flash flooding threatens areas from the Tennessee Valley to the Carolinas as storms repeat along a stalled front. Monsoonal storms may trigger flooding in the Southwest. Dangerous heat expands across the Desert Southwest, Plains, mid-Mississippi Valley and Southern Tier. Critical fire weather for interior Pacific Northwest. Cooler, drier air brings brief relief to the Great Lakes and Northeast. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Cottonwood Pass (K7BM)

Lat: 38.78°NLon: 106.22°WElev: 9826ft.

Thunderstorm in Vicinity

70°F

21°C

Humidity 40%
Wind Speed W 13 G 31 mph
Barometer 30.59 in
Dewpoint 45°F (7°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 24 Jul 2:55 pm MDT
Extended Forecast for

6 Miles ESE Saint Elmo CO

  • This Afternoon

    This Afternoon: A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 62. East southeast wind 5 to 10 mph. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 62 °F

    Chance
    T-storms

  • Tonight

    Tonight: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 9pm, then a slight chance of showers between 9pm and 10pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 45. North wind 5 to 10 mph becoming south after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 45 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Partly Cloudy

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Showers and thunderstorms likely before 4pm, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm between 4pm and 5pm, then showers and thunderstorms likely after 5pm. High near 62. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming south southeast in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

    High: 62 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    T-storms

  • Saturday Night

    Saturday Night: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 10pm, then a chance of showers between 10pm and 11pm. Cloudy, then gradually becoming partly cloudy, with a low around 45. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph becoming west northwest in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 45 °F

    Chance
    Showers then
    Mostly Cloudy

  • Sunday

    Sunday: Showers and thunderstorms likely after noon. Increasing clouds, with a high near 63. West northwest wind 5 to 15 mph becoming northeast in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 63 °F

    Mostly Sunny
    then T-storms
    Likely

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 45. Northeast wind around 10 mph becoming northwest after midnight. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 45 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Mostly Cloudy

  • Monday

    Monday: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm after noon. High near 62. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming east in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    High: 62 °F

    Mostly Sunny
    then T-storms

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before midnight, then a slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 45. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    Low: 45 °F

    Showers
    Likely then
    Slight Chance
    Showers

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm after noon. High near 61. Northwest wind around 10 mph becoming south southwest in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 90%.

    High: 61 °F

    Mostly Sunny
    then T-storms

Detailed Forecast

This Afternoon
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 62. East southeast wind 5 to 10 mph. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tonight
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 9pm, then a slight chance of showers between 9pm and 10pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 45. North wind 5 to 10 mph becoming south after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Saturday
Showers and thunderstorms likely before 4pm, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm between 4pm and 5pm, then showers and thunderstorms likely after 5pm. High near 62. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming south southeast in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Saturday Night
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 10pm, then a chance of showers between 10pm and 11pm. Cloudy, then gradually becoming partly cloudy, with a low around 45. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph becoming west northwest in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Sunday
Showers and thunderstorms likely after noon. Increasing clouds, with a high near 63. West northwest wind 5 to 15 mph becoming northeast in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Sunday Night
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 45. Northeast wind around 10 mph becoming northwest after midnight. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Monday
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm after noon. High near 62. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming east in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Monday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before midnight, then a slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 45. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Tuesday
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm after noon. High near 61. Northwest wind around 10 mph becoming south southwest in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
Tuesday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before midnight, then a slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 43. West northwest wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Wednesday
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 61. West wind around 10 mph.
Wednesday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 43. West northwest wind around 10 mph.
Thursday
Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly sunny, with a high near 60. Northwest wind around 10 mph becoming north northeast in the afternoon.
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Forecast Area
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
6 Miles ESE Saint Elmo CO
 38.65°N 106.25°W (Elev. 12635 ft)
Last Update:
2:40 pm MDT Jul 24, 2026
Forecast Valid:
3pm MDT Jul 24, 2026-6pm MDT Jul 30, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

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Chance of Precipitation