Severe Weather Threats Across the Plains; Dangerous Heat and Wildfire Concerns for the West; Watching the Tropics

Severe thunderstorms are expected across the Central Plains accompanied by damaging wind gusts and large hail. In addition, heavy rainfall may lead to instances of flash flooding from the Plains and mid-Atlantic regions. The heavy rainfall threat continues across Florida and across the northern Gulf as we monitor a tropical disturbance tracking westward. Critical fire weather for the Great Basin. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Cottonwood Pass (K7BM)

Lat: 38.78°NLon: 106.22°WElev: 9826ft.

Fair

72°F

22°C

Humidity 27%
Wind Speed SW 3 mph
Barometer 30.45 in
Dewpoint 36°F (2°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 15 Jul 10:13 am MDT
Extended Forecast for

5 Miles NW Saint Elmo CO

  • Today

    Today: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 3pm.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 67. West northwest wind 10 to 15 mph.  New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 67 °F

    Sunny then
    Chance
    T-storms

  • Tonight

    Tonight: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 10pm, then a slight chance of showers between 10pm and 11pm.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 45. North northwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming west after midnight.  Chance of precipitation is 30%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 45 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Partly Cloudy

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm, mainly after noon.  High near 69. West wind 5 to 15 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 69 °F

    Mostly Sunny
    then Showers

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 40. West wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light and variable  after midnight.  New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 40 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Partly Cloudy

  • Thursday

    Thursday: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 9am and noon, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after noon.  High near 67. West southwest wind 5 to 10 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 67 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    T-storms

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 41. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph.  New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 41 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Mostly Cloudy

  • Friday

    Friday: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm after noon.  High near 67. West wind 5 to 10 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    High: 67 °F

    Partly Sunny
    then T-storms

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 41. West wind around 5 mph.

    Low: 41 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Partly Cloudy

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Showers and thunderstorms likely after noon.  Partly sunny, with a high near 66. West wind around 10 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 70%.

    High: 66 °F

    Mostly Sunny
    then T-storms
    Likely

Detailed Forecast

Today
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 3pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 67. West northwest wind 10 to 15 mph. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tonight
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 10pm, then a slight chance of showers between 10pm and 11pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 45. North northwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming west after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Wednesday
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm, mainly after noon. High near 69. West wind 5 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Wednesday Night
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 40. West wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light and variable after midnight. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Thursday
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 9am and noon, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after noon. High near 67. West southwest wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Thursday Night
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 41. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Friday
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm after noon. High near 67. West wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Friday Night
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 41. West wind around 5 mph.
Saturday
Showers and thunderstorms likely after noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 66. West wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Saturday Night
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 41. West wind 5 to 10 mph.
Sunday
Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly sunny, with a high near 66. West wind 10 to 15 mph.
Sunday Night
A chance of showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 41. West wind around 10 mph.
Monday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 67. West wind 10 to 15 mph.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
5 Miles NW Saint Elmo CO
 38.75°N 106.41°W (Elev. 11886 ft)
9:48 am MDT Jul 15, 2025
10am MDT Jul 15, 2025-6pm MDT Jul 21, 2025
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database