National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Severe Thunderstorms in the Midwest and Arizona; Heat Continues in the Southeast and Southwest

Thunderstorms, some severe, may lead to scattered instances of flash flooding across the Midwest and Ohio Valley and southern Arizona. The threat will shift to the Mid-Atlantic coast on Thursday. Dangerous heat persists in the South and Southeast while building into the Southwest. Overnight lows will be so warm that little-to-no relief from the scorching daytime highs will be available. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Cottonwood Pass (K7BM)

Lat: 38.78°NLon: 106.22°WElev: 9826ft.

Partly Cloudy

61°F

16°C

Humidity 45%
Wind Speed S 5 mph
Barometer 30.57 in
Dewpoint 39°F (4°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 20 Aug 12:15 am MDT
Extended Forecast for

5 Miles NNW Saint Elmo CO

  • Overnight

    Overnight: Mostly clear, with a low around 45. West wind around 5 mph.

    Low: 45 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Thursday

    Thursday: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly between noon and 5pm. Increasing clouds, with a high near 65. West wind 5 to 10 mph becoming north in the afternoon.

    High: 65 °F

    Mostly Sunny
    then Chance
    T-storms

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 43. North northeast wind 5 to 10 mph becoming south southwest in the evening. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 43 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    Partly Cloudy

  • Friday

    Friday: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after noon. Mostly sunny, with a high near 65. West wind around 5 mph becoming south southeast in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 65 °F

    Sunny then
    Showers
    Likely

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 9pm, then a chance of showers between 9pm and midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 44. South wind 5 to 10 mph becoming west in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 44 °F

    Chance
    Showers then
    Partly Cloudy

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm after noon. High near 62. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 62 °F

    Mostly Sunny
    then Showers

  • Saturday Night

    Saturday Night: A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 43. West southwest wind around 10 mph.

    Low: 43 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Mostly Cloudy

  • Sunday

    Sunday: Showers and thunderstorms likely after noon. Mostly sunny, with a high near 61. West wind 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    High: 61 °F

    Mostly Sunny
    then T-storms
    Likely

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 41. West northwest wind around 10 mph.

    Low: 41 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Partly Cloudy

Detailed Forecast

Overnight
Mostly clear, with a low around 45. West wind around 5 mph.
Thursday
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly between noon and 5pm. Increasing clouds, with a high near 65. West wind 5 to 10 mph becoming north in the afternoon.
Thursday Night
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 43. North northeast wind 5 to 10 mph becoming south southwest in the evening. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Friday
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after noon. Mostly sunny, with a high near 65. West wind around 5 mph becoming south southeast in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Friday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 9pm, then a chance of showers between 9pm and midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 44. South wind 5 to 10 mph becoming west in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Saturday
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm after noon. High near 62. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Saturday Night
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 43. West southwest wind around 10 mph.
Sunday
Showers and thunderstorms likely after noon. Mostly sunny, with a high near 61. West wind 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Sunday Night
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 41. West northwest wind around 10 mph.
Monday
Showers and thunderstorms likely after noon. Mostly sunny, with a high near 61. West wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Monday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 41. West northwest wind around 5 mph.
Tuesday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 61. West wind around 10 mph.
Tuesday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 41. West wind 5 to 10 mph.
Wednesday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 62. West wind around 10 mph.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
5 Miles NNW Saint Elmo CO
 38.78°N 106.38°W (Elev. 12047 ft)
Last Update:
9:26 pm MDT Aug 19, 2026
Forecast Valid:
12am MDT Aug 20, 2026-6pm MDT Aug 26, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

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Chance of Precipitation