Thunderstorms and Heavy Rainfall in the Plains; Hazardous Heat in the South and Southeast

Severe thunderstorms will be possible across the northern/central Plains through Tuesday afternoon and from the central Plains to the Mid-Mississippi Valley Tuesday evening through Wednesday morning. Storms may produce large hail and damaging wind gusts, and heavy rainfall may lead to scattered instances of flash flooding. Meanwhile, hazardous heat persists across the South and Southeast. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

St. Joseph, Rosecrans Memorial Airport (KSTJ)

Lat: 39.77°NLon: 94.91°WElev: 823ft.

Fair

79°F

26°C

Humidity 62%
Wind Speed SW 3 mph
Barometer 30.05 in (1016.9 mb)
Dewpoint 65°F (18°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Heat Index81°F (27°C)
Last update 17 Aug 7:53 pm CDT
Extended Forecast for

5 Miles ENE Cosby MO

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Increasing clouds, with a low around 66. Calm wind becoming south around 6 mph after midnight.

    Low: 66 °F

    Increasing
    Clouds

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before noon, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between noon and 1pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1pm.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 85. South wind 7 to 10 mph becoming west in the morning.  Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 85 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Showers
    Likely

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before 1am.  Increasing clouds, with a low around 67. Northeast wind 5 to 8 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

    Low: 67 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Showers
    Likely

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 1pm, then a slight chance of showers between 1pm and 4pm, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 4pm.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 81. East northeast wind 5 to 8 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 81 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 7pm, then a slight chance of showers between 7pm and 1am.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 65. East northeast wind 3 to 7 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    Low: 65 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    Slight Chance
    Showers

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 83.

    High: 83 °F

    Mostly Sunny

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 65.

    Low: 65 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Friday

    Friday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 86.

    High: 86 °F

    Mostly Sunny

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1am.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 67. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Low: 67 °F

    Mostly Clear
    then Chance
    T-storms

Detailed Forecast

Tonight
Increasing clouds, with a low around 66. Calm wind becoming south around 6 mph after midnight.
Tuesday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before noon, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between noon and 1pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 85. South wind 7 to 10 mph becoming west in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tuesday Night
Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before 1am. Increasing clouds, with a low around 67. Northeast wind 5 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Wednesday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 1pm, then a slight chance of showers between 1pm and 4pm, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 4pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 81. East northeast wind 5 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Wednesday Night
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 7pm, then a slight chance of showers between 7pm and 1am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 65. East northeast wind 3 to 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Thursday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 83.
Thursday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 65.
Friday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 86.
Friday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 67. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Saturday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 84.
Saturday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 64.
Sunday
Partly sunny, with a high near 83.
Sunday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 65.
Monday
Partly sunny, with a high near 85.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
5 Miles ENE Cosby MO
 39.9°N 94.6°W (Elev. 899 ft)
1:26 pm CDT Aug 17, 2026
7pm CDT Aug 17, 2026-6pm CDT Aug 24, 2026
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database