Fire Weather Concerns and Severe Thunderstorms through the Weekend

Dry and windy conditions, and some dry thunderstorms and lightning, may support hazardous fire activity in the northern Plains, high southern Plains and the Southwest this weekend. An active severe weather pattern is forecast for portions of the central and southern High Plains into the Upper Midwest through early the part of next week. Damaging winds, large hail, and tornadoes are possible. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Independence, Independence Municipal Airport (KIIB)

Lat: 42.45°NLon: 91.93°WElev: 978ft.

Light Rain

63°F

17°C

Humidity 90%
Wind Speed SW 12 G 18 mph
Barometer 29.81 in
Dewpoint 60°F (16°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 16 May 3:15 am CDT
Extended Forecast for

3 Miles SW Aurora IA

  • Overnight

    Overnight: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms.  Mostly cloudy, with a steady temperature around 61. Southwest wind around 5 mph.

    Low: 61 °F

    Chance
    T-storms

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 82. West wind around 5 mph becoming east in the afternoon.

    High: 82 °F

    Mostly Sunny

  • Saturday Night

    Saturday Night: Showers and thunderstorms likely before 4am, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 4am and 5am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 5am.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 59. East wind around 10 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

    Low: 59 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Sunday

    Sunday: Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before 11am.  Cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly sunny, with a high near 83. Breezy, with a south wind 15 to 25 mph, with gusts as high as 35 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    High: 83 °F

    Breezy.
    Showers
    Likely then
    Partly Sunny

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 1am.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 64. Breezy.  Chance of precipitation is 70%.

    Low: 64 °F

    Breezy.
    Partly Cloudy
    then Showers
    Likely

  • Monday

    Monday: Showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 4pm.  High near 82. Breezy.  Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

    High: 82 °F

    Showers and
    Breezy

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm.  Low around 59. Breezy.  Chance of precipitation is 90%.

    Low: 59 °F

    Showers and
    Breezy

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: Partly sunny, with a high near 71. Breezy.

    High: 71 °F

    Partly Sunny
    and Breezy

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 44.

    Low: 44 °F

    Mostly Cloudy

Detailed Forecast

Overnight
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a steady temperature around 61. Southwest wind around 5 mph.
Saturday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 82. West wind around 5 mph becoming east in the afternoon.
Saturday Night
Showers and thunderstorms likely before 4am, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 4am and 5am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 5am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 59. East wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Sunday
Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before 11am. Cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly sunny, with a high near 83. Breezy, with a south wind 15 to 25 mph, with gusts as high as 35 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Sunday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 1am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 64. Breezy. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Monday
Showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 4pm. High near 82. Breezy. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Monday Night
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Low around 59. Breezy. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
Tuesday
Partly sunny, with a high near 71. Breezy.
Tuesday Night
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 44.
Wednesday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 62.
Wednesday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 41.
Thursday
Sunny, with a high near 67.
Thursday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 46.
Friday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 72.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
3 Miles SW Aurora IA
 42.59°N 91.76°W (Elev. 1096 ft)
2:21 am CDT May 16, 2026
3am CDT May 16, 2026-6pm CDT May 22, 2026
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database